|

AUD/USD stays pressured around 0.6700 on unimpressive RBA Minutes, focus on Aussie-China talks

  • AUD/USD holds lower grounds after RBA’s latest Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes.
  • RBA Minutes suggest that policymakers discussed all options, are ready for further rate hikes.
  • Anxiety ahead of Aussie-China talks, mixed sentiment elsewhere restricts pair moves.
  • PBOC Interest Rate Decision, US Housing data to offer additional directions but China-linked headlines are the key.

AUD/USD pays little heed to the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) latest Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes while holding lower grounds near 0.6700 during early Tuesday. In doing so, the Aussie pair portrays the market’s cautious mood ahead of the other key catalysts, namely a meeting between Australian and Chinese diplomats, as well as a monetary policy meeting of the People’s Bank of China (PBOC).

RBA Minutes suggested that Australia's central bank considered leaving interest rates unchanged at its December policy meeting, citing the lagged effects of the aggressive tightening delivered so far and the benefits of moving cautiously in an uncertain environment.

Also read: RBA minutes: Considered pausing hikes at Dec meeting, still sees more ahead

Apart from the RBA Minutes, mixed concerns in the market and a cautious mood ahead of the key diplomatic meeting between the Aussie and Chinese policymakers challenge the AUD/USD pair moves. Also likely to have probed the momentum traders could be the year-end holiday mood and a light calendar elsewhere, not to forget the looming interest rate decision from the PBOC.

Earlier in the day, Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong said she would push for trade sanctions to be lifted in her meeting with Chinese counterpart Wang Yi as Canberra looks to repair strained diplomatic relations with Beijing, per Reuters. “Wong is expected to meet Wang Yi in Beijing on Wednesday, the first visit by an Australian minister since 2019 and the first formal talks in Beijing between the two nations' top diplomats since 2018,” added the news.

It should be noted that the recession woes underpin the US Treasury yield and challenge the riskier assets, like AUD/USD and equities of late.

Looking forward, the PBOC Interest Rate Decision will be important amid indecision surrounding the longer-term Loan Prime Rate (LPR). That said, the one-year LPR is likely to remain unchanged at 3.65% while some in the market do favor an increase in the five-year LPR, currently near 4.30%, which could favor AUD/USD bulls.

Technical analysis

Inverted hammer bullish candlestick on the daily chart of the AUD/USD pair suggests further upside momentum of the quote. Also challenging the sellers is the 100-DMA support near 0.6665.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6697
Today Daily Change0.0001
Today Daily Change %0.01%
Today daily open0.6696
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6743
Daily SMA500.6566
Daily SMA1000.6667
Daily SMA2000.6894
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6733
Previous Daily Low0.6683
Previous Weekly High0.6893
Previous Weekly Low0.6675
Previous Monthly High0.6801
Previous Monthly Low0.6272
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6714
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6702
Daily Pivot Point S10.6675
Daily Pivot Point S20.6654
Daily Pivot Point S30.6625
Daily Pivot Point R10.6725
Daily Pivot Point R20.6753
Daily Pivot Point R30.6774

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs close to monthly lows, still defends 0.7100 ahead of Fed decision

AUD/USD retains its negative bias for the third straight day, defending 0.7100 while trading close to a monthly low in Wednesday's Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar stands firm near a two-week high as the anticipated Fed rate hike and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to a multi-year high. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions benefit the safe-haven buck and weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie.

USD/JPY holds firm above 155.00, awaits Fed policy announcements

USD/JPY climbs to a fresh one-week high above 155.00 in the Asian session on Wednesday amid a bullish US Dollar. Oil-driven inflation fears, along with the anticipated Fed rate hike, continue to support surging US bond yields. Moreover, rising US-Iran tensions underpin the USD's reserve currency status. The pair, however, remains below the mid-155.00s as bulls seem hesitant ahead of the Fed decision later today and the BoJ meeting, starting on Thursday.

Gold traders seem noncommittal below $4,350; eyes Fed rate decision

Gold clings to modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session, albeit it lacks follow-through buying and remains below $4,350. The US Dollar eases from a two-week high amid some profit-taking, offering support to the commodity. Traders, however, seem hesitant to place aggressive directional bets and opt to wait on the sidelines heading into the key central bank event risk.

Cardano's bearish breakout warns of a 15% downside risk
Cardano (ADA) hovers around $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday after a 6% decline the previous day, breaking below a crucial support level. Declining on-chain activity across the Cardano ecosystem, with reduced transaction count and Real Economic Value (REV), suggests waning user demand.
Fed decision in focus

Starting with the most important, the Fed decision. Heading into the event, data showed a rather punchy US August jobs report, which, you will likely recall, triggered a hawkish Fed rate repricing in rates markets. However, the recent US August CPI print mattered more.

How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.