|

AUD/USD stays in lower half of daily range near 0.6750

  • Risk-off atmosphere puts antipodeans under bearish pressure on Monday.
  • US Dollar Index moves in a narrow range below 97.50 in NA session.
  • Coming up: National Bank of Australia's Business Confidence Index. 

After inching close to the 0.68 handle during the early trading hours of the Asian session, the AUD/USD pair lost its traction and slumped to a daily low of 0.6744 before going into a consolidation phase in the second half of the day. As of writing, the pair was down 0.47% on the day at 0.6755.

Dismal market mood hurts Aussie

The fact that the People's Bank of China (PBOC) decided to keep the USD/CNY rate above 7 for the third straight day revived concerns over the US, once again, accusing China of currency manipulation and further escalating the geopolitical tensions. Moreover, the lack of any positive developments regarding the US-China trade dispute and falling US Treasury bond yields kept investors away from risk-sensitive antipodeans.

In the Asian session on Tuesday, the National Australia Bank will release its Business Conditions and Business Confidence data for July. There won't be any other macroeconomic data releases from Australia and markets will keep a close eye on the USD/CNY rate. 

Dollar stays calm ahead of inflation data

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is moving in a relatively tight range on Monday after posting weekly losses for the first time in four weeks last Friday. The next significant catalyst for the DXY will be the inflation report that will be published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics tomorrow.

Previewing the data, “The consensus expects a +0.2% mom reading for the core however our US economists expect a softer +0.13% mom reading mainly reflecting some unwind of the drivers that drove the strong reading in June," said Deutsche Bank analysts.

"It’s worth noting that markets are still pricing in 63bps of cuts by the Fed this year so it’ll be interesting to see if this data makes much of a dent in that.”

Technical levels to watch for

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6756
Today Daily Change-0.0031
Today Daily Change %-0.46
Today daily open0.6787
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6907
Daily SMA500.6939
Daily SMA1000.6986
Daily SMA2000.7072
Levels
Previous Daily High0.682
Previous Daily Low0.6778
Previous Weekly High0.6822
Previous Weekly Low0.6676
Previous Monthly High0.7082
Previous Monthly Low0.6832
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6794
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6804
Daily Pivot Point S10.677
Daily Pivot Point S20.6753
Daily Pivot Point S30.6729
Daily Pivot Point R10.6812
Daily Pivot Point R20.6837
Daily Pivot Point R30.6854

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD sticks to positive bias above 1.1800 as trade jitters undermine USD

The EUR/USD pair builds on the previous day's modest gains and attracts some buyers for the second straight day on Thursday amid a softer US Dollar. Spot prices, however, lack bullish conviction and trade around the 1.1815-1.1820 area during the Asian session, up 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD bounces as soft CPI boosts BoE cut bets

GBP/USD rose 0.42% on Wednesday, recovering toward 1.3600 in a session shaped by softer-than-expected UK inflation data and broad US Dollar weakness. The pair had been consolidating in a tight range between about 1.3450 and 1.3520 for the past few days following the sharp pullback from the late-January high near 1.3870, and Wednesday's move pushed price action back onto the high side of key moving averages.

Gold retains positive bias amid sustained safe-haven demand, softer USD

Gold attracts some buyers for the second straight day as trade jitters and geopolitical tensions ahead of the US-Iran nuclear talks underpin demand for safe-haven assets. Apart from this, a softer US Dollar further supports the bullion, though the underlying bullish sentiment could cap gains. Bulls might also opt to wait for acceptance above the $5,200 mark before positioning for any meaningful appreciating move.

AUD/USD rises toward three-year highs on RBA rate hike bets

AUD/USD remains stronger for the third successive session, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair advances toward its three-year high of 0.7147, last touched on February 12, as the Australian Dollar strengthens following hotter-than-expected inflation data from Australia, reinforcing expectations of further interest rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia this year.

Nvidia delivers another monster earnings report, and forecasts big things to come

It was another monster earnings report from Nvidia for fiscal Q4. Revenues were $68.1bn, smashing estimates of $65bn. Gross profit margin was a healthy 75%, up from 73.5% in the prior quarter, and the outlook for this quarter was monstrous.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.