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AUD/USD sits near weekly tops, challenging 0.6770-75 supply zone

  • Trade optimism continues to underpin demand for the China-proxy Australian Dollar.
  • The USD remains on the defensive amid firming Fed rate cut expectations in October.
  • The incoming trade-related headlines will play a key role in driving the pair on Friday.

The AUD/USD pair traded with a mild positive bias for the second consecutive session on Friday and is currently placed near weekly tops, around the 0.6770-75 supply zone.
 
The pair added to the previous session's solid intraday bounce of over 60 pips from one-week lows and remained well bid amid growing trade optimism. The US President Donald Trump characterized the first day of trade talks between the top US and Chinese negotiators as very good and said that he is still planning to meet Chinese Vice Premier Liu He on Friday.

Trade optimism remains supportive

Adding to this, a White House official said that the talks had gone probably better than expected. The incoming trade-related headlines raised the possibility of a currency agreement this week, which coupled with a more bullish market mood underpinned demand for trade-sensitive currencies – including the China-proxy Australian Dollar.
 
Meanwhile, the prevalent risk-on mood allowed the US Treasury bond yields to climb further through the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar, however, failed to capitalize on rising US bond yields and continued to be weighed down by increasing odds of another interest rate cut by the Fed in October, further fueled by Thursday’s softer US CPI figures.
 
Data released on Thursday showed that the headline US consumer price index (CPI) was unchanged in September – the weakest reading in eight months – and held steady at 1.7% on an annual basis. Meanwhile, the core CPI rose by just 0.1% from the prior month, leaving room for the Fed to lower interest rates further at its upcoming meeting on October 29-30.
 
Moving ahead, Friday’s US economic docket, featuring the release of Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, will now be looked upon for some short-term trading impetus later during the early North-American session.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6773
Today Daily Change0.0012
Today Daily Change %0.18
Today daily open0.6761
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6772
Daily SMA500.6778
Daily SMA1000.6867
Daily SMA2000.6981
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6775
Previous Daily Low0.6709
Previous Weekly High0.6776
Previous Weekly Low0.667
Previous Monthly High0.6895
Previous Monthly Low0.6687
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.675
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6734
Daily Pivot Point S10.6722
Daily Pivot Point S20.6682
Daily Pivot Point S30.6656
Daily Pivot Point R10.6788
Daily Pivot Point R20.6814
Daily Pivot Point R30.6854

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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