|

AUD/USD sits near three-year tops, around 0.7975 region

  • A combination of factors pushed AUD/USD to fresh three-year tops on Thursday.
  • Powell’s dovish comments, the risk-on mood undermined the safe-haven USD.
  • Slightly overbought conditions on the daily chart capped the upside for the pair.

The AUD/USD pair traded with a mild positive bias through the early European session and was last seen hovering around the 0.7970-75 region, or three-year tops.

A combination of factors assisted the pair to build on its recent bullish momentum and edge higher during the first half of the trading action on Thursday. The Australian dollar benefitted from upbeat Private Capital Expenditure (Capex) data, which unexpectedly jumped 3% during the final three months of 2020.

Adding to this, the underlying bullish sentiment undermined the safe-haven US dollar and further drove flows towards the perceived riskier aussie. Investors remain optimistic about a strong global economic recovery amid the progress in COVID-19 vaccinations and US President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion stimulus package.

The USD was further pressured by Fed Chair Jerome Powell's dovish comments, reassuring that interest rates would stay low for a long time. During his second day of congressional testimony on Wednesday, Powell reiterated that the Fed has no plans to cut back on money-printing or raise interest rates in the short term.

Powell also calmed fears about inflation and said that he will only start worrying if prices begin to rise in a persistent and troubling way. Meanwhile, the reflation trade, along with rising inflation expectations pushed the yield on the benchmark 10-year US bond to fresh one-year tops, albeit did little to impress the USD bulls.

That said, slightly overbought conditions on daily charts kept a lid on any further gains for the AUD/USD pair, at least for the time being.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, highlighting the release of the Prelim (second estimate) Q4 GDP print. Apart from this, the US Durable Goods Orders data and speeches by influential FOMC members will influence the USD price dynamics. This, in turn, might produce some short-term opportunities around the AUD/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7976
Today Daily Change0.0011
Today Daily Change %0.14
Today daily open0.7965
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7742
Daily SMA500.7709
Daily SMA1000.7489
Daily SMA2000.7274
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7968
Previous Daily Low0.7894
Previous Weekly High0.7878
Previous Weekly Low0.7724
Previous Monthly High0.782
Previous Monthly Low0.7592
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.794
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7923
Daily Pivot Point S10.7917
Daily Pivot Point S20.7869
Daily Pivot Point S30.7844
Daily Pivot Point R10.7991
Daily Pivot Point R20.8016
Daily Pivot Point R30.8064

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to gains around 1.1800

EUR/USD manages to regain composure and retests the 1.1800 region in quite a positive start to the week. The pair’s bounce follows the US Dollar’s offered stance post-SCOTUS ruling ahead of important US data and Fedspeak on Tuesday.

GBP/USD looks stuck around 1.3500 amid firm gains

GBP/USD is pushing further north on Monday, revisiting the 1.3500 hurdle and beyond. Cable’s uptick is largely being fuelled by the broader softness in the Greenback, amid lingering uncertainty around tariffs.

Gold pops above $5,200, four-week highs

Gold is holding onto its bullish tone on Monday, reaching new multi-week highs just past the $5,200 mark per troy ounce. Fresh trade-war concerns, coupled with rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, are keeping demand for the yellow metal well on the rise.

Ethereum Price Forecast: BitMine's holdings reach 4.42 million ETH as Fundstrat predicts 87% win-ratio

Ethereum (ETH) treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) scooped up 51,162 ETH last week, marking its largest purchase since December.

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

XRP recovers slightly as bearish sentiment dominates crypto market

Ripple is rising above $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid fresh tariff-triggered headwinds in the broader cryptocurrency market. The sell-off to $1.33, the token’s intraday low, can be attributed to macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and risk-averse sentiment among other factors.