|

AUD/USD: Set to test 0.6555 – UOB Group

There is a chance for Australian Dollar (AUD) to test 0.6555 against US Dollar (USD); current momentum suggests a decisive break above this level is unlikely. In the longer run, AUD could edge higher and test 0.6555; for a continued rise, it must first close above 0.6555, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

For a continued rise, it must first close above 0.6555

24-HOUR VIEW: "Yesterday, we expected AUD to 'trade in a sideways range of 0.6465/0.6515.' AUD then traded between 0.6485 and 0.6515. AUD closed at 0.6514 before rising in the early Asian trade today. There has been a rapid buildup in momentum, and there is a chance for AUD to test 0.6555. Based on the current momentum, a decisive break above this level is unlikely. On the downside, support levels are at 0.6505 and 0.6485."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Two days ago (24 Jun, spot at 0.6470), we highlighted that 'the current price movements are likely part of a broad range trading phase, probably between 0.6385 and 0.6555.' Yesterday, AUD rose and closed at 0.6514. Upward momentum is building, albeit a bit tentative for now. From here, AUD could edge higher and test 0.6555, but for a continued rise, it must first close above 0.6555. The probability of AUD closing above 0.6555 is not high, but it will increase in the next few days as long as the ‘strong support’ level at 0.6445 is not breached."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds lower ground near 1.1850 ahead of EU/ US data

EUR/USD remains in the negative territory for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.1850 in European trading on Friday. A broadly cautious market environment paired with modest US Dollar demand undermines the pair ahead of the Eurozone GDP second estimate and the critical US CPI data. 

GBP/USD keeps losses around 1.3600, awaits US CPI for fresh impetus

GBP/USD holds moderate losses at around 1.3600 in the European session on Friday, though it lacks bearish conviction. The US Dollar remains supported amid softer risk tone and ahead of the US consumer inflation figures due later in the NA session on Friday. 

Gold trims intraday gains to $5,000 as US inflation data loom

Gold retreats from the vicinity of the $5,000 psychological mark, though sticks to its modest intraday gains heading into the European session. Traders now look forward to the release of the US consumer inflation figures for more cues about the Fed policy path. The outlook will play a key role in influencing the near-term US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.

US CPI data set to show modest inflation cooling as markets price in a more hawkish Fed

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish January’s Consumer Price Index data on Friday, delayed by the brief and partial United States government shutdown. The report is expected to show that inflationary pressures eased modestly but also remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Solana Price Forecast: Mixed market sentiment caps recovery

Solana (SOL) is trading at $79 as of Friday, following a correction of over 9% so far this week. On-chain and derivatives data indicates mixed sentiment among traders, further limiting the chances of a price recovery.