|

AUD/USD: Sellers elusive after weak Aussie Retail Sales

  • AUD/USD ignores weak Aussie data, remains flat near 0.7765. 
  • Australia's consumer spending contracted more than expected in December. 

The weaker-than-expected Aussie Retail Sales data fail to elicit a bearish reaction from the Aussie dollar. AUD/USD remains flatlined near 0.7765. 

As represented by Retail Sales, Australia's consumer spending rose fell by 4.2% month-on-month in December versus expectations for a 1.5% drop following November's 7.1% growth. The decline in consumer spending during the holiday season puts a question mark on the strength of the recovery from the coronavirus crisis and validates the Reserve Bank of Australia's dovish stance. So far, however, the AUD sellers have remained on the sidelines. 

The data has come a day after the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that the economy added 50K jobs in December, pushing the jobless rate down to a multi-month low of 6.6%. The Aussie dollar ticked higher on Thursday on the back of upbeat labor market data and continued demand for risk assets. The S&P 500 marked new record highs on Thursday and the NASDAQ enjoyed strong gains on the back of outperformance across the tech sector, keeping the anti-risk US dollar under pressure. 

The Federal Reserve has recently squashed talks of an early QE taper. Meanwhile, markets are expecting generous fiscal spending under Joe Biden's presidency. As such, the path of least resistance for AUD/USD appears to be on the higher side. 

Analysts foresee resistance on moves approaching 0.78 and 0.7820 with support intact on moves below 0.7650. 

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7766
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open0.7764
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7711
Daily SMA500.7546
Daily SMA1000.736
Daily SMA2000.7119
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7783
Previous Daily Low0.774
Previous Weekly High0.7806
Previous Weekly Low0.7665
Previous Monthly High0.7743
Previous Monthly Low0.7338
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7767
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7757
Daily Pivot Point S10.7742
Daily Pivot Point S20.772
Daily Pivot Point S30.7699
Daily Pivot Point R10.7785
Daily Pivot Point R20.7805
Daily Pivot Point R30.7827

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.