AUD/USD sees upside above 0.6830 as DXY corrects, RBA policy and Fed minutes in focus


  • AUD/USD is likely to extend its recovery above 0.6830 amid a weaker DXY.
  • The FOMC minutes will display the agenda behind featuring a 75 bps rate hike in June.
  • A consecutive 50 bps rate hike by the RBA is expected in July monetary policy meeting.

The AUD/USD pair is looking strong at open and is expected to extend its recovery after violating the critical hurdle of 0.6830. On Friday, the asset witnessed a strong rebound as the greenback bulls sensed exhaustion after failing to extend losses below 0.6763. A firmer recovery drove the asset above the psychological resistance of 0.6800 to a high of 0.6828 and more gains are expected from the counter on advancing downside risks for the US dollar index (DXY).

The DXY witnessed a steep fall after re-testing the year high at 105.79. Investors found the DXY an expensive bet at elevated levels after the release of the downbeat US Institute of Supply Management (ISM) data. The US ISM Manufacturing PMI landed at 53, lower than the expectations of 54.9 and the prior print of 56.1.

In addition to that, the Employment Index and New Orders Index remained vulnerable. So the all-together downbeat performance trimmed the odds of a consecutive 75 basis point rate hike announcement by the Federal Reserve (Fed) for its July monetary policy meeting.

This week, the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes will keep investors busy.  The FOMC minutes will provide a detailed view of the agenda behind keeping an extreme hawkish stance on policy rates by the Fed in June.

On the aussie front, the spotlight will remain on the interest rate decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which is due on Tuesday. The RBA is expected to announce a consecutive 50 basis points (bps) rate hike in its monetary policy. This may elevate its Official Cash Rate (OCR) officially to 1.35%.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6819
Today Daily Change 0.0004
Today Daily Change % 0.06
Today daily open 0.6815
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6985
Daily SMA50 0.7043
Daily SMA100 0.72
Daily SMA200 0.7223
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6906
Previous Daily Low 0.6764
Previous Weekly High 0.6965
Previous Weekly Low 0.6764
Previous Monthly High 0.7283
Previous Monthly Low 0.685
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6818
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6852
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.675
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6686
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6608
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6893
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6971
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7035

 

 

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