|

AUD/USD risks further losses below 0.7325 – UOB

In opinion of FX Strategists at UOB Group Lee Sue Ann and Quek Ser Leang, AUD/USD could intensify the decline on a close below 0.7325.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “Yesterday, we expected AUD to ‘trade sideways between 0.7400 and 0.7455’. AUD subsequently rose to 0.7459 before staging a surprisingly sharp decline to 0.7365. The bias for today is on the downside but any weakness is expected to encounter solid support at 0.7345. Next support is at 0.7325. On the upside, a breach of 0.7405 (minor resistance is at 0.7390) would indicate that the current downward pressure has eased.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “We highlighted yesterday (219 Apr, spot at 0.7435) that downward momentum has more or less dissipated and we expected AUD to trade sideways within a range of 0.7370/0.7495. AUD subsequently rose to 0.7459 before dropping sharply to 0.7365. Shorter-term downward momentum is building again but AUD has to close below 0.7325 before a sustained decline is likely. The chance for AUD to close below 0.7325 is not high for now but it would remain intact as long as it does not move above 0.7435 within these few days. Looking ahead, the next support below 0.7325 is at 0.7280.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold holds above $5,000 as bears seem hesitant amid Fed rate cut bets

Gold edges lower at the start of a new week, though it defends the $5,000 psychological mark through the Asian session. The underlying bullish sentiment is seen acting as a headwind for the bullion. However, bets for more rate cuts by the Fed, bolstered by Friday's softer US CPI, keep the US Dollar bulls on the defensive and continue to support the non-yielding yellow metal as the focus now shifts to FOMC Minutes on Wednesday.

Week ahead: Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

The US jobs report for January, which was delayed slightly, didn’t do the dovish Fed bets any favours, as expectations of a soft print did not materialize, confounding the raft of weak job indicators seen in the prior week.

Global inflation watch: Signs of cooling services inflation

Realized inflation landed close to expectations in January, as negative base effects weighed on the annual rates. Remaining sticky inflation is largely explained by services, while tariff-driven goods inflation remains limited even in the US.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.