|

AUD/USD: RBA’s guidance, labor market data – OCBC

Australian Dollar (AUD) near-term fate hinges on RBA (meeting on Tue 1230pm SGT), AU wage price index, labor market data and USD moves this week. AUD was last at 0.6520 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Bearish momentum show signs of fading

"Softer 2Q CPI, PPI and decline in job advertisements had paved the way for RBA to cut cash rate at the next meeting tomorrow. For the year remaining, cash rate futures pointed to about 62bps cut."

"But it remains uncertain if RBA language will tilt more dovish or if the MPC prefers to stick to current 'cautious and gradual' pace of rate cut. A less dovish or 'no hurry' type of language/ guidance may frustrate AUD bears, but Thu labor market data will also be key to watch."

"Bearish momentum on daily chart show signs of fading while the rise in RSI faded. Resistance at 0.6550 levels. Support at 0.65, 0.6430 levels."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.