|

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Extends rally to fresh high since February 2023, near 0.7100

  • AUD/USD continues scaling higher and hitting multi-year peaks for the ninth straight day.
  • The bullish technical setup backs the case for an extension of the well-established trend.
  • The daily RSI is flashing extremely overbought conditions, and warrants caution for bulls.

The AUD/USD pair extends its strong uptrend witnessed over the past two weeks or so and jumps to a fresh high since February 2023, closer to the 0.7100 mark, during the Asian session on Thursday. Moreover, the supportive technical setup suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains to the upside.

Against the backdrop of repeated failures to find acceptance below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) since June 2025, the recent breakout through a multi-week-old trading range hurdle, around mid-0.6700s, was seen as a key trigger for bulls. Adding to this, a daily close above the 0.7000 psychological mark, for the first time since February 2023, validates the near-term positive outlook for the AUD/USD pair.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line extends above the Signal line and holds above zero, with the histogram widening positively, suggesting strengthening bullish momentum. However, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 87 points to overbought conditions, making it prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation before positioning for any further appreciating move for the AUD/USD pair.

On the 1-hour chart, an ascending channel guides the advance, with resistance near 0.7128 that could cap gains. With price pressing the channel’s upper band, the near-term bias rests on whether buyers can secure a breakout; failure there would keep the AUD/USD pair contained within the rising structure. On setbacks, initial support aligns at the channel floor near 0.7029, where dips could stabilize before the trend resumes.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

AUD/USD daily chart

Chart Analysis AUD/USD

Australian Dollar Price Last 7 Days

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies last 7 days. Australian Dollar was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-2.48%-2.99%-3.35%-2.21%-4.56%-3.98%-3.71%
EUR2.48%-0.52%-0.92%0.28%-2.12%-1.52%-1.28%
GBP2.99%0.52%-0.42%0.80%-1.63%-1.02%-0.76%
JPY3.35%0.92%0.42%1.19%-1.23%-0.65%-0.37%
CAD2.21%-0.28%-0.80%-1.19%-2.40%-1.81%-1.55%
AUD4.56%2.12%1.63%1.23%2.40%0.61%0.87%
NZD3.98%1.52%1.02%0.65%1.81%-0.61%0.26%
CHF3.71%1.28%0.76%0.37%1.55%-0.87%-0.26%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD weakens toward 1.1600 as firm US data revives the US Dollar

The EUR/USD edged lower on Thursday, down some 0.21% as market sentiment remains risk averse due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. This and solid US economic data pushed the pair lower towards the 1.1600 figure ahead of Friday’s session.

GBP/USD drifts lower heading into NFP range

GBP/USD edged lower by 0.2% on Thursday, settling close to 1.3350 in a strained trading session that kept the pair pinned near three-month lows. Price briefly recovered earlier in the day on reports that Iran had indirectly signaled openness to talks with the CIA, but the bounce faded as Israeli officials reportedly advised Washington to disregard the overture. 

Gold: further weakness could challenge $5,000

Gold comes under fresh selling pressure on Thursday, slipping back below the $5,100 mark per troy ounce. Persistent strength in the US Dollar (USD) is preventing the yellow metal from building a meaningful recovery, even as markets remain risk-averse amid the deepening conflict in the Middle East.

NYSE parent Intercontinental Exchange partners with OKX, invests at a $25B valuation

OKX announced an investment from Intercontinental Exchange, raising its valuation to $25 billion, alongside a partnership to expand regulated crypto futures and tokenized equity offerings globally.

Two PMIs, two Chinas

China’s economic data are often treated with a degree of caution by global investors. The challenge is not necessarily that the numbers are incorrect, but that they can describe very different parts of a vast and complex economy. Nowhere is that more evident than in China’s PMIs.

Ripple tests recovery strength amid steady ETF inflows, growing retail interest

Ripple (XRP) continues to demonstrate notable resilience as the cryptocurrency market navigates the persistent war in the Middle East after the United States (US) and Israel attacked Iran on Saturday.