|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Sellers eye 0.6800 as a bearish-engulfing candle pattern emerges

  • AUD/USD is about to finish the week with losses of 1.10%.
  • A bearish-engulfing candle pattern and the RSI’s crossing below 50 are two reasons that could tumble the AUD/USD.
  • AUD/USD sellers eye a break below 0.6900, on its way towards 0.6800.

The AUD/USD drops substantially, courtesy of upbeat US economic data, which sent the major plunging from daily highs around 0.6974 towards the day’s lows at 0.6869, though as Wall Street closed, the Aussie trimmed some of those losses. At the time of writing, the AUD/USD is trading at 0.6910, down 0.82%.

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The AUD/USD daily chart portrays the pair below the confluence of the August 4 low and the 50-day EMA around 0.6952. It’s worth noting that earlier, the major dived below the intersection of a five-month-old downslope trendline and the 20-day EMA, around 0.6892, but it was short-lived and bounced toward current exchange rates.

Still, the AUD/USD is downward biased for some reasons: first,  the Relative Strength Index (RSI) just crossed below the 50-midline, indicating sellers are gathering momentum. And the second reason would be that the last two-daily candles formed a bearish-engulfing candle pattern, implying that sellers outweighed buyers.

Therefore, the AUD/USD path of least resistance is downwards, and the pair’s first support would be the 0.6900 figure. Once cleared, the next stop will be the 20-day EMA at 0.6892, followed by the 0.6800 mark.

AUD/USD Key Technical Levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6910
Today Daily Change-0.0082
Today Daily Change %-1.18
Today daily open0.697
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6892
Daily SMA500.696
Daily SMA1000.7111
Daily SMA2000.7164
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6991
Previous Daily Low0.6934
Previous Weekly High0.7033
Previous Weekly Low0.6879
Previous Monthly High0.7033
Previous Monthly Low0.668
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6969
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6956
Daily Pivot Point S10.6939
Daily Pivot Point S20.6909
Daily Pivot Point S30.6883
Daily Pivot Point R10.6996
Daily Pivot Point R20.7022
Daily Pivot Point R30.7052

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits near a one-month top, above 0.7000 amid fresh USD selling

AUD/USD holds above 0.7000 through the Asian session, trading near a one-month high touched earlier this Monday amid renewed US Dollar selling. US bond yields decline further amid a modest pullback in crude oil prices, capping the USD recovery from a three-week low. Moreover, bets for a November RBA rate hike support the Aussie, though upside seems capped ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC meeting, starting Tuesday.

USD/JPY struggles below 157.00 on weak USD; holds above one-month low ahead of Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Monday, stalling its recovery from the lowest level since September 18, touched Friday as a further decline in US bond yields weighs on the US Dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen benefits from a more hawkish BoJ, further weighing on the currency pair. The downside, however, seems limited as traders keenly await Fed and BoJ policy meetings later this week.

Gold consolidates near $4,000 as recovery remains fragile ahead of Fed decision

Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates modest gains on Monday after last week’s sharp decline pushed the metal to $3,975, its lowest level since August. A pullback in Oil prices offers support as traders react to diplomatic efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East.

Bitcoin stalls around $80,000 as geopolitical tensions dampen risk appetite

Bitcoin hovers around $80,500 on Monday after three straight weeks of correction. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to push oil prices higher, stoking inflation concerns and dampening risk appetite.

Flight to safety meets a high earnings bar as central bank week begins

The final full week of October is upon us, and it is a busy one. The focus will be on updates from the five major central banks – the RBNZ, BoC, Fed, ECB, and BoJ – the UK Autumn Budget, Australian inflation, and a stretch of Q3 earnings, with a whopping 36% of S&P 500 companies reporting.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.