|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Retreats from monthly resistance, 100-SMA towards 0.6800

  • AUD/USD takes offers to renew intraday low as it pares the biggest daily gains in a month.
  • Receding bullish bias of MACD, RSI pullback adds strength to the fall targeting 50-SMA.
  • 200-SMA adds to the upside filters, bears have a bumpy road before retaking control.

AUD/USD consolidates the biggest daily gains in a month as it refreshes intraday low around 0.6825-30 during Monday’s Asian session. In doing so, the Aussie pair takes a U-turn from the downward sloping resistance line from August 15 as well as the 100-SMA.

Given the receding bullish bias of the MACD and the RSI retreat, the AUD/USD prices are likely to witness further downside.

However, the 0.6800 threshold and the 50-SMA, around 0.6790, could challenge the intraday sellers.

Following that, the monthly horizontal support area, around 0.6770, appears the last defense of the AUD/USD bulls before challenging the yearly low of 0.6700.

Meanwhile, the 100-SMA and the aforementioned resistance line, respectively near 0.6850 and 0.6870, challenge short-term AUD/USD upside ahead of the 200-SMA hurdle surrounding 0.6925.

It’s worth noting that the pair’s run-up beyond 0.6925 enables it to overcome the 0.7000 psychological magnet, which in turn highlights the late August swing high near 0.7010 for the bulls to watch as a probable challenge.

AUD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6829
Today Daily Change-0.0015
Today Daily Change %-0.22%
Today daily open0.6844
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6874
Daily SMA500.6896
Daily SMA1000.6969
Daily SMA2000.7116
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6877
Previous Daily Low0.6745
Previous Weekly High0.6877
Previous Weekly Low0.6699
Previous Monthly High0.7137
Previous Monthly Low0.6835
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6827
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6795
Daily Pivot Point S10.6766
Daily Pivot Point S20.669
Daily Pivot Point S30.6634
Daily Pivot Point R10.6899
Daily Pivot Point R20.6954
Daily Pivot Point R30.7031

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.