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AUD/USD Price Analysis: Remains vulnerable amid an impending bear cross on 1D chart

  • AUD/USD falls for the second straight day on Monday.
  • An impending bear cross on the daily chart keeps the bears hopeful.
  • RSI looks south below the midline, with more downside in the offing.

AUD/USD is back in the red zone starting out a fresh week on Monday, having faded Friday’s rebound to near 0.7625 region.

The sentiment around the aussie remains sour amid a broad-based US dollar recovery. The downbeat market mood and Fed Chair Powell’s encouraging comments seem to bode well for the greenback.

Meanwhile, covid vaccine delays in Australia also weigh on the aussie dollar. Australia’s New South Wales (NSW) Premier Gladys Berejiklian noted that he fears Australia will be left behind as the rest of the world opens.

From a near-term technical perspective, the bears have regained control, as AUD/USD now looks to retest Friday’s low of 0.7588.

An impending bear cross on the daily chart, represented by the 21-daily moving average (DMA) on the verge of piercing the 100-DMA from above, points to more losses in the offing.

Adding credence to further downside, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) edges lower while below the midline, currently at 43.10.

A sustained break below Friday’s low could expose the April 1 low of 0.7531. Further south, the 0.7500 round figure could be put to test.

AUD/USD: Daily chart

On the flip side, any recovery attempts could face stiff resistance around 0.7657, the confluence of the 21 and 100-DMAs.

The next stop for the AUD bulls is seen at the April 7 high of 0.7678, as a test of the 0.7700 mark remains inevitable.

AUD/USD: Additional levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7600
Today Daily Change-0.0021
Today Daily Change %-0.28
Today daily open0.7623
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.766
Daily SMA500.7715
Daily SMA1000.7654
Daily SMA2000.7411
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7662
Previous Daily Low0.7588
Previous Weekly High0.7678
Previous Weekly Low0.7588
Previous Monthly High0.785
Previous Monthly Low0.7562
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7616
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7634
Daily Pivot Point S10.7586
Daily Pivot Point S20.755
Daily Pivot Point S30.7512
Daily Pivot Point R10.7661
Daily Pivot Point R20.7699
Daily Pivot Point R30.7735

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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