|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Inch far from weekly-high above 0.6700 as risk-on mood strengthens

  • AUD/USD has sensed a stellar buying interest amid the declining USD Index.
  • A bull cross, delivered by the 20-and 50-period EMAs at 0.6648 indicates more upside ahead.
  • The RS) (14) has shifted into the bullish range, which indicates that the upside momentum has been triggered.

The AUD/USD pair has witnessed sheer buying interest from the market participants and has reached near its weekly high plotted near 0.6720. The Aussie asset has attracted significant bids as investors have lightened their longs in the US Dollar Index (DXY) significantly. The reason behind ignoring the USD Index despite fears of global banking turmoil is the accelerating expectations of a less-hawkish stance on interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed) ahead.

S&P500 futures have recovered their nominal losses witnessed in Asian morning and has turned positive now. A follow-up buying in the 500-US stocks basket futures after a prominent Thursday indicates a further strengthening of the risk appetite theme. The USD Index has shifted its auction below 104.20 and is expected to deliver more losses, considering that the risk-aversion theme is fading.

After breaking above the critical resistance of 0.6668, AUD/USD has soared above 0.6700. At the press time, the Aussie asset is hovering near the weekly high. A bull cross, delivered by the 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 0.6648 indicates more upside ahead.

Adding to that, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which indicates that the upside momentum has been triggered.

Should the asset breaks above March 13 high at 0.6717, Aussie bulls would drive the asset further toward March 07 high at 0.67478 followed by the horizontal resistance plotted from February 23 low at 0.6781.

On the contrary, a slippage below March 15 low at 0.6564 will drag the asset toward October 4 high at 0.6547 and the round-level support at 0.6500.

AUD/USD hourly chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6708
Today Daily Change0.0052
Today Daily Change %0.78
Today daily open0.6656
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6721
Daily SMA500.6875
Daily SMA1000.6775
Daily SMA2000.6767
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6668
Previous Daily Low0.661
Previous Weekly High0.677
Previous Weekly Low0.6564
Previous Monthly High0.7158
Previous Monthly Low0.6698
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6646
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6633
Daily Pivot Point S10.6621
Daily Pivot Point S20.6587
Daily Pivot Point S30.6563
Daily Pivot Point R10.6679
Daily Pivot Point R20.6703
Daily Pivot Point R30.6737

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.