|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Holds steady above 0.7600 mark, bearish potential intact

  • AUD/USD seemed struggling to capitalize on its modest intraday gains.
  • A pickup USD demand was seen as a key factor that capped the upside.
  • The near-term set-up remains tilted firmly in favour of bearish traders.

The AUD/USD pair held on to its modest daily gains through the early North American session, albeit lacked any follow-through and remained confined in a range above the 0.7600 mark.

The US dollar remained well supported by some follow-through uptick in the US Treasury bond yields and better-than-expected ADP report on the US private-sector employment. This, in turn, was seen as one of the key factors that kept a lid on any meaningful gains for the AUD/USD pair.

Currently hovering around the 23.6% Fibonacci level of the 0.6990-0.7820 strong move up, the pair is having difficulty in attracting investors. The inability to gain any meaningful traction suggests that the recent corrective slide from multi-year tops might still be far from being over.

The bearish outlook is further reinforced by the fact that technical indicators on the daily chart have just started drifting into the negative territory. Hence, any further move up might still be seen as an opportunity for bearish traders and runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly.

A sustained weakness below the overnight swing lows, which coincides with a short-term descending trend-line support, currently around the 0.7565-60 region, will reaffirm the bearish bias. The AUD/USD pair might then accelerate the slide further towards the key 0.7500 psychological mark.

The latter represents 38.2% Fibo. level, which if broken decisively should pave the way for a further near-term depreciating move.

AUD/USD 4-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7617
Today Daily Change0.0019
Today Daily Change %0.25
Today daily open0.7598
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7716
Daily SMA500.7605
Daily SMA1000.7392
Daily SMA2000.7171
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7662
Previous Daily Low0.7562
Previous Weekly High0.7764
Previous Weekly Low0.7592
Previous Monthly High0.782
Previous Monthly Low0.7592
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7601
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7624
Daily Pivot Point S10.7553
Daily Pivot Point S20.7508
Daily Pivot Point S30.7454
Daily Pivot Point R10.7653
Daily Pivot Point R20.7707
Daily Pivot Point R30.7752

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD pops to yearly highs near 1.1770

EUR/USD rapidly reverses course and hits fresh YTD tops near 1.1780 at the end of the week. The pair’s U-turn comes on the back of the intense sell-off in the Greenback amid the generalised risk-on context.

GBP/USD climbs to four-month tops near 1.3600

GBP/USD is building on its solid weekly advance and is pushing toward the 1.3600 hurdle on Friday, or new four-month peaks. Cable’s strong move higher comes as the Greenback intensifies its decline, while auspicious results on the UK calendar also collaborate with the uptrend.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $5,000

Gold prices keep their uptrend well in place and gear up for an imminent hit to the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The yellow metal’s sharp advance gathers pace amid the increasing weakness in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasury yields across the curve.

Swiss bank UBS Group mulls Bitcoin and Ethereum offering for select private clients

UBS Group AG plans to offer crypto investment services to select private clients. The offering will allow clients of its private bank in Switzerland to buy and sell Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Week ahead – Fed and BoC meet amid geopolitical upheaval and Trump’s Fed pick

Fed to likely go on pause after three straight cuts. BoC is also expected to stand pat. But will Trump steal the limelight by revealing his Fed chair nomination?

Bitcoin slips below $90,000 as Trump's tariffs swing, ETF outflows pressure price

Bitcoin price struggles below $90,000 on Friday, correcting nearly 5% so far this week. Trump’s Davos speech on Wednesday, backing away from imposing further tariffs on the EU, triggered market volatility and risk-on mood.