|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Drops nearly 30 pips from session highs

  • AUD/USD pulls back from session highs, confirming a bearish divergence of RSI. 
  • The pair risks a deeper drop to the 50-hour SMA support. 

AUD/USD has failed to take out resistance at 0.70 ahead of the all-important Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decision. The pair is currently trading near 0.6970, having hit highs above 0.70 two hours ago. 

The pullback has established a bearish divergence of the relative strength index (RSI) on the hourly chart. A bearish divergence occurs when the indicator prints lower highs alongside higher highs on the price chart and is widely considered a sign of uptrend exhaustion. 

As such, one may expect a deeper drop in the AUD/USD, possibly to the ascending 50-hour simple moving average (SMA), currently at 0.6955. On the higher side, a clear break above 0.70 would restore the intraday bullish view.

The AUD/USD pair has rallied by over 1500 pips over the past 3.5-months. The RBA, therefore, may talk down the Aussie dollar. The rate decision is scheduled at 04:30 GMT. 

Hourly chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6971
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open0.6973
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6902
Daily SMA500.672
Daily SMA1000.6515
Daily SMA2000.6672
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6988
Previous Daily Low0.6929
Previous Weekly High0.6953
Previous Weekly Low0.6832
Previous Monthly High0.7065
Previous Monthly Low0.6648
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6965
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6951
Daily Pivot Point S10.6939
Daily Pivot Point S20.6904
Daily Pivot Point S30.688
Daily Pivot Point R10.6998
Daily Pivot Point R20.7023
Daily Pivot Point R30.7057

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.