|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Death cross on 4H chart points to more losses

  • AUD/USD extends sell-off after rejection above 0.7700.
  • DXY rebounds, as Treasury yields stabilize while China CPI beats estimates.
  • The 4H chart shows death cross, RSI remains bearish.

AUD/USD drops towards 0.7650, as the bulls failed to resist above the 0.7700 level earlier in the Asian session.

The downside in the aussie could be attributed to the impressive bounce staged by the US dollar across its major peers, as the Treasury yields look to stabilize following a steep correction from 13-month tops a day before.

The price action around the yields and US dollar continues to remain the main market driver, as markets look forward to the US CPI, bond auction and stimulus announcements. The aussie bulls ignored the upbeat Chinese inflation figures amid risk-off market mood.

Looking at the spot technically, the bears look to extend their control amid a death cross confirmed on the four-hour chart after the 50-simple moving average (SMA) pierced through the horizontal 200-SMA from above.

The relative strength index (RSI) trends below the midline, allowing room for more declines. Therefore, a drop towards the horizontal trendline support at 0.7620 is likely on the cards, below which the 0.7600 level could be put to test.

On the flip side, the bearish 21-SMA at 0.7684 offers immediate resistance to the major.

All in all, the path of least resistance appears to the downside.

AUD/USD: Four-hour chart

.

AUD/USD: Additional levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7671
Today Daily Change-0.0046
Today Daily Change %-0.60
Today daily open0.7718
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7784
Daily SMA500.7737
Daily SMA1000.7544
Daily SMA2000.7323
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7726
Previous Daily Low0.762
Previous Weekly High0.7838
Previous Weekly Low0.7622
Previous Monthly High0.8008
Previous Monthly Low0.7562
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7686
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7661
Daily Pivot Point S10.765
Daily Pivot Point S20.7583
Daily Pivot Point S30.7545
Daily Pivot Point R10.7756
Daily Pivot Point R20.7794
Daily Pivot Point R30.7861

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD: Downward-sloping trendline near 1.3470 remains key barrier

The British pound faces selling pressure against its major currency peers, trading 0.1% lower at around 1.3420 against the US Dollar during the European trading session on Tuesday.

Euro defends 1.1500 level ahead of US data

EUR/USD struggles to make a decisive move in either direction and trades in a tight channel above 1.1500 on Tuesday. Investors cling to a cautious stance amid the uncertainty surrounding the situation in the Middle East and help the USD stay resilient against its rivals, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the next batch of US data.

Aave: Bearish RSI divergence risks a 20% drop despite steady DeFi deposits

Aave (AAVE) extends a mild near-term recovery on Tuesday, holding above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $90.80. Aave protocol’s V3 deployment on Monad blockchain recorded over $500 million in deposits over the last month, reflecting increased user adoption.

US JOLTs report in focus
In the US, the June JOLTs report will be in the spotlight. Job openings have increased modestly this year, which has historically predicted rising wage cost pressures ahead. June trade balance data will also be released in the afternoon and the preliminary reading pointed towards a stable trade deficit from May. The Fed's Schmid (non-voter, hawk) will be on the wires overnight.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.