|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Death cross on 4H chart points to more losses

  • AUD/USD extends sell-off after rejection above 0.7700.
  • DXY rebounds, as Treasury yields stabilize while China CPI beats estimates.
  • The 4H chart shows death cross, RSI remains bearish.

AUD/USD drops towards 0.7650, as the bulls failed to resist above the 0.7700 level earlier in the Asian session.

The downside in the aussie could be attributed to the impressive bounce staged by the US dollar across its major peers, as the Treasury yields look to stabilize following a steep correction from 13-month tops a day before.

The price action around the yields and US dollar continues to remain the main market driver, as markets look forward to the US CPI, bond auction and stimulus announcements. The aussie bulls ignored the upbeat Chinese inflation figures amid risk-off market mood.

Looking at the spot technically, the bears look to extend their control amid a death cross confirmed on the four-hour chart after the 50-simple moving average (SMA) pierced through the horizontal 200-SMA from above.

The relative strength index (RSI) trends below the midline, allowing room for more declines. Therefore, a drop towards the horizontal trendline support at 0.7620 is likely on the cards, below which the 0.7600 level could be put to test.

On the flip side, the bearish 21-SMA at 0.7684 offers immediate resistance to the major.

All in all, the path of least resistance appears to the downside.

AUD/USD: Four-hour chart

.

AUD/USD: Additional levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7671
Today Daily Change-0.0046
Today Daily Change %-0.60
Today daily open0.7718
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7784
Daily SMA500.7737
Daily SMA1000.7544
Daily SMA2000.7323
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7726
Previous Daily Low0.762
Previous Weekly High0.7838
Previous Weekly Low0.7622
Previous Monthly High0.8008
Previous Monthly Low0.7562
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7686
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7661
Daily Pivot Point S10.765
Daily Pivot Point S20.7583
Daily Pivot Point S30.7545
Daily Pivot Point R10.7756
Daily Pivot Point R20.7794
Daily Pivot Point R30.7861

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD turns south toward 0.6900 as USD firms up

AUD/USD sees fresh selling and drops toward 0.6900 in late Asian trading on Monday, as renewed US Dollar strength weighs on the pair amid lingering Middle East and Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions. Focus remains on Oil prices, Treasury bond yields, and RBA expectations for fresh trading impetus in the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ bets, firmer USD

USD/JPY erases losses and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, trading within a one-week-old range. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to underpin the US Dollar, despite fading Fed rate hike hopes, supporting the pair's rebound. However, further upside could be capped by hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks that could support the Japanese Yen.

Gold languishes below $4,200 amid high US yields

Gold trims some losses on Monday, but remains trapped within previous ranges, with upside attempts limited below $4,200 and with two-month lows of $4,110 at a short distance. The recent pullback on the US Dollar Index has provided some support for precious metals although the high US Treasury yields are keeping a floor on US Dollar dips so far.

Pi Network risks a steeper decline as bearish momentum builds

Pi Network extends losses below $0.090 maintaining a steady decline for the fifth consecutive day. The retail demand remains firm, with the notional value of active perpeutals holding above $10 million. The technical outlook for PI remains bearish as bearish momentum mounts.

ISM Services PMI expected to show robust US economy in September

On Monday, we’ll get the latest read on the US services sector when the Institute for Supply Management publishes its September gauge. Consensus points to a marginal uptick to 55.7 from August’s 55.4. If confirmed, the reading is unlikely to significantly dent the current sector’s resilience and confidence in the broader economy.

The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.