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AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bullish above 0.6650 amid firmer Aussie Retail Sales, pre-Fed USD fall

  • AUD/USD clings to mild gains inside weekly bullish channel, keep bounce off 200-EMA.
  • Easing bearish bias of MACD signals adds strength to recovery moves.
  • Three-week-old descending trend line acts as immediate hurdle; downside break of 0.6650 can prod yearly low.

AUD/USD remains mildly bid during a three-day winning streak around 0.6665 heading into Wednesday’s European session.

Also read: AUD/USD remains confined below 0.6670 despite upbeat Australian Retail Sales data

In doing so, the Aussie pair stays within an upward-sloping trend channel while defending the previous day’s rebound from the 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (200-EMA).

That said, the easing bearish bias of the MACD signals and the pair’s sustained trading inside a bullish chart formation, not to forget the clear bounce off 200-EMA, keeps AUD/USD buyers hopeful.

However, the late April swing high near 0.6705 challenges the immediate upside of the Aussie pair, a break of which will highlight a downward-sloping resistance line from April 13, close to 0.6715 at the latest.

In a case where the AUD/USD buyers keep the reins past 0.6715, the stated weekly channel’s top line, near 0.6745 by the press time, as well as the April 25 swing high near 0.6775, could challenge the upside momentum.

On the contrary, a downside break of the stated bullish channel’s support line, near 0.6660, isn’t an open offer for the Aussie bear’s welcome as the 200-EMA level of 0.6650 can prod the AUD/USD pair’s further declines.

Following that, a slump towards the yearly low marked in April, close to 0.6565, can’t be ruled out.

AUD/USD: Hourly chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6667
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.06%
Today daily open0.6663
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6678
Daily SMA500.6688
Daily SMA1000.679
Daily SMA2000.6734
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6717
Previous Daily Low0.662
Previous Weekly High0.6706
Previous Weekly Low0.6574
Previous Monthly High0.6806
Previous Monthly Low0.6574
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.668
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6657
Daily Pivot Point S10.6616
Daily Pivot Point S20.657
Daily Pivot Point S30.652
Daily Pivot Point R10.6713
Daily Pivot Point R20.6764
Daily Pivot Point R30.681

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
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