|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bounces off 61.8% golden ratio towards 0.6900

  • AUD/USD picks up bids to rebound from the key Fibonacci retracement support.
  • 12-day-old resistance line, 200-SMA join bearish MACD signals to challenge recovery.
  • The mid-July swing high can acts as additional support during the south-run to yearly low.

AUD/USD renews intraday high around 0.6880 during early Wednesday morning in Europe. In doing so, the Aussie pair rebounds from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the July-August upside.

Given the recovery moves from an important Fibonacci ratio, as well as the broad US dollar weakness, AUD/USD is likely to stretch the latest run-up towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near 0.6910.

However, a downward sloping resistance line from August 15, around 0.6930 at the latest, restricts short-term advances of the pair.

Following that, the 200-SMA level surrounding 0.6950 may act as the last defense of the AUD/USD bears.

Meanwhile, pullback moves may have to successfully break the 61.8% golden ratio around 0.6850 to convince sellers.

Even so, the mid-July swing high and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels, respectively near 0.6800 and 0.6880, could test the AUD/USD sellers before directing them to the yearly low marked in July near 0.6680.

To sum up, AUD/USD is likley to remain firmer but the upside room appears limited.

AUD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6878
Today Daily Change0.0025
Today Daily Change %0.36%
Today daily open0.6853
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6961
Daily SMA500.6913
Daily SMA1000.7016
Daily SMA2000.7129
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6957
Previous Daily Low0.6845
Previous Weekly High0.701
Previous Weekly Low0.6855
Previous Monthly High0.7033
Previous Monthly Low0.668
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6888
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6914
Daily Pivot Point S10.6813
Daily Pivot Point S20.6773
Daily Pivot Point S30.6701
Daily Pivot Point R10.6925
Daily Pivot Point R20.6997
Daily Pivot Point R30.7037

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.