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AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bears step in after RBA decision

  • The AUD/USD declined to a low near 0.6400, seeing 1.05% losses
  • Despite the  hiking by 25 bps the AUD failed to gain momentum
  • Indicators on the daily chart are starting to favour the bears.


The AUD/USD suffered significant losses in Tuesday's session, reaching a daily low near 0.6400 with a decline of 1.05% and then stabilising around 0.6420. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hiked rates by 25 bps to 4.35% and left the door open to further increases, but the USD strength is pushing the pair downwards.

In line with that, the daily chart highlights a neutral to the bearish technical outlook for the AUD/USD, as signs of bullish exhaustion become evident after last week’s rally. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has a negative slope above its midline, indicating weakening buying pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence (MACD) lays out lower green bars. Furthermore, the pair is above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) but below the 100 and 200-day SMAs, suggesting that the bears are in control of the larger context while bulls are still resilient, holding some momentum in the shorter time frame.

Indicators on the four-hour chart turned somewhat flat after sharply declining during the Asian session, indicating that the pair may face a consolidation in the short term.

Supports: 0.6400, 0.6365 (20-day SMA), 0.6350.
Resistances: 0.6440, 0.6460, 0.6500 (100-day SMA).

AUD/USD Daily chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6425
Today Daily Change-0.0064
Today Daily Change %-0.99
Today daily open0.6489
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6367
Daily SMA500.6395
Daily SMA1000.6512
Daily SMA2000.6619
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6523
Previous Daily Low0.6487
Previous Weekly High0.6518
Previous Weekly Low0.6315
Previous Monthly High0.6445
Previous Monthly Low0.627
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6501
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6509
Daily Pivot Point S10.6476
Daily Pivot Point S20.6464
Daily Pivot Point S30.644
Daily Pivot Point R10.6512
Daily Pivot Point R20.6535
Daily Pivot Point R30.6548

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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