AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bears step in after RBA decision

The AUD/USD declined to a low near 0.6400, seeing 1.05% losses
Despite the hiking by 25 bps the AUD failed to gain momentum
Indicators on the daily chart are starting to favour the bears.

Patricio Martín FXStreet

The AUD/USD suffered significant losses in Tuesday's session, reaching a daily low near 0.6400 with a decline of 1.05% and then stabilising around 0.6420. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hiked rates by 25 bps to 4.35% and left the door open to further increases, but the USD strength is pushing the pair downwards.

In line with that, the daily chart highlights a neutral to the bearish technical outlook for the AUD/USD, as signs of bullish exhaustion become evident after last week’s rally. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has a negative slope above its midline, indicating weakening buying pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence (MACD) lays out lower green bars. Furthermore, the pair is above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) but below the 100 and 200-day SMAs, suggesting that the bears are in control of the larger context while bulls are still resilient, holding some momentum in the shorter time frame.

Indicators on the four-hour chart turned somewhat flat after sharply declining during the Asian session, indicating that the pair may face a consolidation in the short term.

Supports: 0.6400, 0.6365 (20-day SMA), 0.6350.
Resistances: 0.6440, 0.6460, 0.6500 (100-day SMA).

AUD/USD Daily chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6425
Today Daily Change	-0.0064
Today Daily Change %	-0.99
Today daily open	0.6489

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.6367
Daily SMA50	0.6395
Daily SMA100	0.6512
Daily SMA200	0.6619

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.6523
Previous Daily Low	0.6487
Previous Weekly High	0.6518
Previous Weekly Low	0.6315
Previous Monthly High	0.6445
Previous Monthly Low	0.627
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.6501
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.6509
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.6476
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.6464
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.644
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.6512
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.6535
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.6548

Author

Patricio Martín

FXStreet

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks

Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.

Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.