|

AUD/USD off lows, still holds weaker below 0.74 mark

   •  Chinese trade data-led uptick turns out to be short-lived.
   •  Persistent USD buying prompts some fresh selling.
   •  Weaker commodity prices add to the downward pressure.

The AUD/USD pair maintained its offered tone through the mid-European session, albeit now seems to have found some support near the 0.7365 region.

Today's better-than-expected Chinese trade surplus data did provide a minor lift to the China-proxy Australian Dollar and assisted the pair to build on overnight goodish recovery move. The uptick, however, quickly fizzled out and met with some aggressive selling amid persistent US Dollar buying interest. 

Signs that the world's two biggest economies are willing to resume trade talks and resolve their differences eased concerns over a full-blown US-China trade war. This coupled with firming expectations that the Fed remains on track to raise interest rate at least two more times by the end of this year kept pushing the greenback higher and exerted some fresh downward pressure on the major. 

Meanwhile, the prevailing bearish sentiment around commodity space, especially copper, which tends to influence demand for commodity-linked currencies - like the Aussie, also did little to stall the downfall back closer to weekly lows set in the previous session.

The USD bulls now seemed taking some breather, amid a sharp slide in the US Treasury bond yields, and was seen as one of the key factors lending some support, at least for the time being.

Traders now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the release of Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and the Fed Monetary Policy Report in order to grab some meaningful opportunities on the last trading day of the week. 

Technical levels to watch

The 0.7365 area might continue to act as an immediate support, below which the pair is likely to head back towards over two-year lows, around the 0.7315-10 region, with some intermediate support around 0.7335 level.

On the flip side, the 0.7400 handle might now cap any immediate up-move, which if cleared might trigger a short-covering move towards 0.7440 intermediate resistance en-route the 0.7480-85 heavy supply zone.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.