|

AUD/USD: Likely to trade in a range of 0.6430/0.6485 – UOB Group

Australian Dollar (AUD) does not appear to have enough momentum to continue to decline vs US Dollar (USD); it is more likely to trade in a range of 0.6430/0.6485. In the longer run, the loss in upward momentum indicates the likelihood of AUD reaching 0.6550 is low, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Likelihood of AUD reaching 0.6550 is low

24-HOUR VIEW: "In the early Asian session yesterday, when AUD was at 0.6480, we expected it to 'consolidate in a range between 0.6455 and 0.6510.' However, AUD edged to a low of 0.6435. While the weakness has not quite stabilised, AUD does not appear to have enough momentum to continue to decline. Today, AUD is more likely to trade in a range of 0.6430/0.6485."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "On Monday (26 May, spot at 0.6495), we indicated that 'there has been a rapid buildup in momentum.' We expect AUD to 'trade with an upward bias toward 0.6550.' AUD then rose to 0.6537 and pulled back. Yesterday, AUD pulled back further to 0.6435. The loss in momentum indicates the likelihood of AUD reaching 0.6550 is low. From here, if AUD were to break clearly below 0.6430 (no change in ‘strong support’ level), it would mean that it could range trade for a period."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold holds above $4,300 after setting yet another record high

Spot Gold traded as high as $4,550 a troy ounce on Monday, fueled by persistent US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. The XAU/USD pair was hit sharply by profit-taking during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Ethereum: BitMine continues accumulation, begins staking ETH holdings

Ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its ETH buying spree despite the seasonal holiday market slowdown. The company acquired 44,463 ETH last week, pushing its total holdings to 4.11 million ETH or 3.41% of Ethereum's circulating supply, according to a statement on Monday. That figure is over 50% lower than the amount it purchased the previous week.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).