|

AUD/USD jumps to four-week high after lackluster US PMis

  • AUD/USD is set to finish the week up by 2.23%.
  • US Services and Composite PMIs plummeted below 50, suggesting a recession could be near.
  • Hawkish RBA minutes revealed during the week cushioned the AUD/USD from falling further on weak Aussie PMIs.

The AUD/USD rises for the second consecutive day, registering solid gains amidst a fragile market mood, which shifted sour spurred by weaker than expected US PMIs, showing contraction lying ahead, while the greenback begins to pare some of its earlier losses.

The AUD/USD is trading at 0.6942, bouncing from daily lows at 0.6893 on soft Aussie data and hitting a daily high at 0.6977 before retracting to current price levels.

US Services and Composite PMis plunged to contractionary territory

During the New York session, S&P Global revealed July’s preliminary figures for the US, which showed that the manufacturing index ticked higher, but the services one dropped below 50. Therefore, the S&P Global Composite Index plunged to 47.6, further confirming the ongoing slowdown of the US economy. The AUD/USD jumped on the news, reaching its daily high.

Meanwhile, in the Asian session, the Australian PMIs slowed but remained in expansionary territory, triggering some downward pressure on the AUD/USD. Nevertheless, the RBA minutes released earlier in the week indicating the need for further rate hikes offered some cushion to the major, which later climbed towards its daily high.

In the meantime, the AUD/USD got bolstered by Chinese news. China revealed its intentions to consolidate its economic recovery and prioritize stable prices and employment, battered by Q2 Covid-19 lockdowns, which almost dragged the economy into recessionary territory.

What to watch

Next week, the Australian economic calendar will feature consumer inflation data, retail sales, and the Australian PPI. On the US front, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy decision, US inflation data, and Q2 Gross Domestic Product on its advance reading will give some guidance to AUD/USD traders.

AUD/USD Key Technical Levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6942
Today Daily Change0.0016
Today Daily Change %0.23
Today daily open0.693
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6844
Daily SMA500.6975
Daily SMA1000.7144
Daily SMA2000.719
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6938
Previous Daily Low0.6858
Previous Weekly High0.69
Previous Weekly Low0.668
Previous Monthly High0.7283
Previous Monthly Low0.685
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6907
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6889
Daily Pivot Point S10.6879
Daily Pivot Point S20.6829
Daily Pivot Point S30.6799
Daily Pivot Point R10.6959
Daily Pivot Point R20.6989
Daily Pivot Point R30.7039

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off one-week low amid Iran diplomacy hopes, ahead of UK CPI

The GBP/USD pair edges higher during the Asian session, snapping a four-day losing streak to the 1.3360 area, or a one-week low, touched the previous day. Spot prices, however, lack follow-through buying and trade below the 1.3400 mark, warranting caution before confirming that the recent pullback from an over two-month high has run its course.

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.1400 on hawkish ECB expectations despite US-Iran tensions

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild gains around 1.1405 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. A hawkish tone from the European Central Bank provides some support to the Euro against the US Dollar. Traders await the upcoming ECB interest rate decision on Thursday. 

Gold: Strong recovery might face roadblock as oil price extends gains

Gold price extends its winning streak for the third trading day on Wednesday, trading 1.5% higher to near $4,140 during the Asian session. The precious metal recovered strongly in the past few trading days from its three-week low of $3,959.80 as traders scaled back Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike expectations for the monetary policy meeting next week.

Bitcoin extends gains, Ethereum and XRP target breakout moves

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain on the front foot on Wednesday as the broader crypto market extends its gains so far this week. BTC leads gains after closing above key resistance while ETH and XRP near key technical hurdles where a breakout could pave the way for additional gains.

UK CPI set to show receding inflation in June as GBP/USD fails at May highs

The UK Office for National Statistics will release the June Consumer Price Index figures on Wednesday at 06:00 GMT, a print that will matter for markets. Consensus expectations point to inflation pressures still above the Bank of England’s target, although losing further momentum.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.