|

AUD/USD jumps 0.40%, looks to snap six-day losing trend

  • AUD/USD ticks higher as Westpac pushes out the RBA rate cut forecast. 
  • The US stock index futures rise, lending support to the AUD.

The Aussie dollar bears are taking a breather on Monday, allowing a bounce in AUD/USD, with an influential economist pushing out his rate cut forecast to November from October. 

The currency pair is currently trading at 0.7050, representing a 0.40% gain on the day. The pair fell by nearly 0.30% on Friday to 0.7006 – its sixth straight consecutive decline. 

RBA to cut rates in November

Westpac, one of the big four Australian banks, expects the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut the overnight cash rate (benchmark interest rate) to a new record low of 0.1% from the current 0.25% in November. 

Until last week, Westpac's economist Bill Evans was confident that the rate cut would happen at the Oct. 6 meeting. 

The central bank is also expected to reduce the three-year bond yield target to 0.1% from 0.25%, the Term Funding Facility rate to 0.1% and the RBA rate on Exchange Settlement balances to 0.01%.

Apart from Westpac's decision to push out the rate cut forecast, the 0.30 gain in the S&P 500 futures could be drawing bids for the AUD. 

Significant gains, however, may remain elusive, courtesy of the resurgence of coronavirus in Europe and caution ahead of the first debate between the US President Donald Trump and rival Joe Biden on Tuesday. 

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7050
Today Daily Change0.0018
Today Daily Change %0.40
Today daily open0.703
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.725
Daily SMA500.7203
Daily SMA1000.7007
Daily SMA2000.6774
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7087
Previous Daily Low0.7004
Previous Weekly High0.7325
Previous Weekly Low0.7004
Previous Monthly High0.7416
Previous Monthly Low0.7076
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7036
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7055
Daily Pivot Point S10.6994
Daily Pivot Point S20.6958
Daily Pivot Point S30.6912
Daily Pivot Point R10.7077
Daily Pivot Point R20.7123
Daily Pivot Point R30.7159

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Gains remain capped below 1.1800

EUR/USD consolidates its upside below 1.1800 in the European trading hours on Monday. The pair trades listlessly amid a tepid market mood, despite a broadly subdued US Dollar. Mid-tier US Pending Home Sales are next in focus. 

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3500 amid cautious markets

GBP/USD is oscillating around 1.3500 in the European session on Monday, supported by broad US Dollar softness. But the upside appears limited due to thin market conditions heading into the New Year holiday break. 

Gold corrects from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 in European trading on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. If the US Dollar finds renewed demand, it could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.