|

AUD/USD inter-market: Ignores improved risk tone, S&P outlook downgrade weigh

AUD/USD traded quite choppy so far this Thursday, swinging between gains and losses amid improved risk conditions and mixed fundamentals.

Having recovered from a dip to 0.7468 in early, the Aussie is seen trying hard to sustain above 0.75 handle as reports of S&P’s downward revision of Australia’s sovereign credit outlook continues to dampen the sentiment around the AUD. Additionally, tumbling copper and iron-ore prices also keep any recovery short-lived in the major.

Copper prices extend weakness for the fourth straight session as inventories of the industrial metal hit a five-month high, reflecting slack in demand. While iron-ore futures fell back in the red in response to persistent worries over steel supply glut and slow physical demand in China.

However, the Aussie finds support from a major turnaround in risk sentiment during the European trading hours amid the European stocks rebound and higher oil prices, which benefits the higher-yielding currencies such as the AUD.  The Volatility Index (VIX), risk barometer) dropped sharply over the last hours, underpinning the AUD bids.

More so, the downside also remains cushioned on the back of the yield spread between the Australian 10-yr government bond yields and US 10-yr treasury yields remaining in favor of the Australian dollar.

Looking ahead, it appears that the major is in search of fresh incentives for next direction, and that could be Friday’s non-farm payrolls data from the US.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD revisits 1.1780, or daily lows

EUR/USD now comes under further selling pressure, breaking below the 1.1800 support to reach daily troughs on Thursday. The pair’s decline comes in response to a sudden bout of USD strength amid steady geopolitical tensions. Ealier in the day, the ECB’s Lagarde delivered cautious remarks, although the currency remained apathetic.

GBP/USD makes a U-turn, challenges 1.3500

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, putting the 1.3500 support to the test on Thursday. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold sticks to the bid bias, flirts with $5,200

Gold is now facing some downside pressure, hovering around the $5,170 region on Thursday. The precious metal adds to Wednesday’s optimism despite the Greenback trades in a firm fashion, although geopolitical tensions in the Middle East keep the yellow metal bid for now.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.