|

AUD/USD hovers around 0.7500 amid awful Chinese PMIs, oil price slump

  • AUD/USD is struggling to resist above 0.7500 amid disappointing China’s PMIs.
  • Risk-aversion, sell-off in commodities price limit aussie bulls.
  • The US dollar licks its wounds amid poor data, weaker yields and Ukraine hopes.

AUD/USD remains on a slippery slope around 0.7500 so far this Thursday, having failed to find acceptance above the latter amid broad risk-aversion.

The higher-yielding aussie bears the brunt of a contraction in the Chinese Manufacturing and Services PMIs. It’s the first time since September 2020 that both indicators have contracted together.

The official manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 49.5 from 50.2 in February, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said, while the non-manufacturing PMI eased to 48.4 from 51.6 in February.  

Concerns over the Chinese economic slowdown amid the latest covid outbreaks coupled with soaring inflation worldwide are sapping investors’ confidence. This is helping put a fresh bid under the US dollar, as it licks its wound after Wednesday’s huge sell-off, triggered by a steep correction in the Treasury yields across the curve. A slowdown in the US ADP jobs creation and a downward revision to the Q4 GDP collaborated with the downside in the dollar.

Additionally, a slump in oil prices is leaving AUD/USD vulnerable to the additional downside. WTI prices crashed over 4% after Reuters reported that US President Joe Biden's team is weighing a massive oil release to combat inflation. The total release may be as much as 180 million barrels, the sources said.

Next of relevance for the major remains the US PCE inflation data and the incoming updates on the Ukraine conflict, as the peace talks are likely to resume online on April 1.

AUD/USD: Technical levels to consider

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7502
Today Daily Change-0.0007
Today Daily Change %-0.09
Today daily open0.7509
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7381
Daily SMA500.7249
Daily SMA1000.7223
Daily SMA2000.7299
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7537
Previous Daily Low0.7502
Previous Weekly High0.7537
Previous Weekly Low0.7372
Previous Monthly High0.7286
Previous Monthly Low0.7032
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7523
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7515
Daily Pivot Point S10.7495
Daily Pivot Point S20.748
Daily Pivot Point S30.7459
Daily Pivot Point R10.753
Daily Pivot Point R20.7551
Daily Pivot Point R30.7566

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1650 ahead of US data

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.1650 on Friday after facing a rejection once again near seven-week highs. The pair, however, continues to draw support from persistent US Dollar weakness, despite a cautious market mood. Traders now await the US September PCE inflation and UoM Consumer Sentiment data. 

GBP/USD clings to gains in 1.3350 region, eyes on US data

GBP/USD sticks to a positive bias near 1.3350 in the second half of the day on Friday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US inflation and sentiment data due later in the day. In the meantime, broad-based US Dollar weakness helps the pair stay afloat. 

Gold remains below $4,250 as traders await key US data

Gold gains some positive traction on Friday and trades in the upper half of its weekly range. Dovish Fed expectations continue to undermine the USD and lend support to the commodity. Bulls, however, might opt to wait for the US PCE Price Index before placing aggressive bets.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.