|

AUD/USD holds ground around 0.6820 following mixed Chinese data

  • AUD/USD gains modest traction in the early Asian session. 
  • Australian Treasurer said the nation's jobless rate would rise from nearly a 48-year low. 
  • The latest Chinese data showed mixed figures. 
  • Markets anticipate the Federal Reserve (Fed) to be dovish in the upcoming meeting on July 26.
  • Investors await the Australian monetary policy meeting minutes.

The AUD/USD pair holds modest gains during the Asian session on Monday. The pair retreated from near the 0.6900 area and currently trades around 0.6825, down 0.02% on the day. The Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) latest meeting will be released on Tuesday, along with the employment data on Thursday. 

At its July policy meeting, the Australian central bank decided to keep the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 4.10% following June data from the nation’s Bureau of Statistics revealed that the country’s economy grew at the slowest rate in 1-1/2 years in the latest quarter, with indication of further contraction ahead.

Australian Treasurer, Jim Chalmers, said on Sunday that nation's jobless rate would rise from near a 48-year low despite the slowing global growth and higher interest rates. 

It’s worth noting that Michele Bullock will be the first woman to lead the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), replacing Philip Lowe. A new RBA Deputy Governor will also be announced in the next few months.

On the US Dollar front, the preliminary reading of the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index rose to 72.6 from 64.4 in June, beating the market's expectation of 65.5. Additionally, US consumer prices climbed by 3.0% year on year, down from 4.0% previously, and the Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.1%, down from 0.9% prior. Markets anticipate the Federal Reserve (Fed) to be less hawkish in tightening monetary policy following an expected interest rate hike in the July 26 meeting.

On the other hand, the concerns of an economic slowdown in China remain in focus. The latest data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) revealed that the Chinese Gross Domestic Product (GDP) came in at 6.3% annually, worse-than-expected at 7.3% and 4.5% prior. At the same time, Industrial Production YoY rose by 4.4% from 3.5% prior, above the consensus of 2.7%. 

Moving on, the key event to watch will be the Australian monetary policy meeting minutes and Employment data later this week. Also, the US Retail Sales and the Chinese economic data might significantly impact the AUD/USD direction in the near-term.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6824
Today Daily Change-0.0015
Today Daily Change %-0.22
Today daily open0.6839
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6716
Daily SMA500.6686
Daily SMA1000.6685
Daily SMA2000.6705
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6895
Previous Daily Low0.6831
Previous Weekly High0.6895
Previous Weekly Low0.6624
Previous Monthly High0.69
Previous Monthly Low0.6484
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6855
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.687
Daily Pivot Point S10.6815
Daily Pivot Point S20.679
Daily Pivot Point S30.675
Daily Pivot Point R10.6879
Daily Pivot Point R20.6919
Daily Pivot Point R30.6943

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD: The 0.7000 level holds the downside…for now

AUD/USD has clinched its fourth consecutive daily pullback on Thursday, coming closer to the key 0.7000 region while breaking below the critical 200-day SMA at the same time. The Aussie’s decline comes on the back of further gains in the Greenback in a context of rising yields and Fed rate hike bets.

USD/JPY keeps the red near 158.00 as Japanese Yen firms up

USD/JPY retreats from three-week highs and holds losses near 158.00 in the Asian session on Thursday. Surging Japanese bond yields lift the Yen amid looming intervention risks, while the US Dollar preserves overnight gains to a two-month high amid hawkish Fed bets and elevated US bond yields.

Gold bounces off lows, still below $4,300

Gold builds on Wednesday’s retracement, briefly slipping back below $4,250 per troy ounce to attempt a lacklustre rebound afterwards. The better tone in the US Dollar, rising US Treasury yields and expectation of extra rate hikes by the Fed continue to weigh on the precious metal in the latter part of Thursday’s NA session.

XRP is flashing three bullish signals heading into a historically weak October
XRP (XRP) is still flashing 3 bullish signals across its holders, derivatives, and ETF data. These signals come as the token gave back part of its September gains on Thursday. The token traded near $1.50 at press time, down about 6.3% over 24 hours, according to BeInCrypto Markets data. The pullback still leaves XRP up over 15.6% on the week, a gain that tracks a broader market rally.
Advanced economies: From one example of resilience to another
History tends to repeat itself in advanced economies. Once again, growth ultimately fell short of expectations by only a small margin in the first half of 2026, despite the conflict in Iran. As early as 2025, the impact of tariffs was less severe than feared.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.