|

AUD/USD holds ground around 0.6820 following mixed Chinese data

  • AUD/USD gains modest traction in the early Asian session. 
  • Australian Treasurer said the nation's jobless rate would rise from nearly a 48-year low. 
  • The latest Chinese data showed mixed figures. 
  • Markets anticipate the Federal Reserve (Fed) to be dovish in the upcoming meeting on July 26.
  • Investors await the Australian monetary policy meeting minutes.

The AUD/USD pair holds modest gains during the Asian session on Monday. The pair retreated from near the 0.6900 area and currently trades around 0.6825, down 0.02% on the day. The Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) latest meeting will be released on Tuesday, along with the employment data on Thursday. 

At its July policy meeting, the Australian central bank decided to keep the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 4.10% following June data from the nation’s Bureau of Statistics revealed that the country’s economy grew at the slowest rate in 1-1/2 years in the latest quarter, with indication of further contraction ahead.

Australian Treasurer, Jim Chalmers, said on Sunday that nation's jobless rate would rise from near a 48-year low despite the slowing global growth and higher interest rates. 

It’s worth noting that Michele Bullock will be the first woman to lead the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), replacing Philip Lowe. A new RBA Deputy Governor will also be announced in the next few months.

On the US Dollar front, the preliminary reading of the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Confidence Index rose to 72.6 from 64.4 in June, beating the market's expectation of 65.5. Additionally, US consumer prices climbed by 3.0% year on year, down from 4.0% previously, and the Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.1%, down from 0.9% prior. Markets anticipate the Federal Reserve (Fed) to be less hawkish in tightening monetary policy following an expected interest rate hike in the July 26 meeting.

On the other hand, the concerns of an economic slowdown in China remain in focus. The latest data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) revealed that the Chinese Gross Domestic Product (GDP) came in at 6.3% annually, worse-than-expected at 7.3% and 4.5% prior. At the same time, Industrial Production YoY rose by 4.4% from 3.5% prior, above the consensus of 2.7%. 

Moving on, the key event to watch will be the Australian monetary policy meeting minutes and Employment data later this week. Also, the US Retail Sales and the Chinese economic data might significantly impact the AUD/USD direction in the near-term.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6824
Today Daily Change-0.0015
Today Daily Change %-0.22
Today daily open0.6839
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6716
Daily SMA500.6686
Daily SMA1000.6685
Daily SMA2000.6705
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6895
Previous Daily Low0.6831
Previous Weekly High0.6895
Previous Weekly Low0.6624
Previous Monthly High0.69
Previous Monthly Low0.6484
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6855
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.687
Daily Pivot Point S10.6815
Daily Pivot Point S20.679
Daily Pivot Point S30.675
Daily Pivot Point R10.6879
Daily Pivot Point R20.6919
Daily Pivot Point R30.6943

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hangs close to 1.1750, with eyes on Fedspeak

EUR/USD is holding its retreat from 10-week highs near 1.1750 in the European session on Friday, capped by a modest rebound in the US Dollar.  The potential downside for the pair might be limited amid expectations of divergent Fed-ECB monetary policy outlooks. Fedspeak is awaited, 

GBP/USD holds steady below 1.3400 after mixed UK dta

GBP/USD is keeping its range trade intact below 1.3400 in European trading on Friday. The UK GDP unexpectedly fell by 0.1% in October vs. a 0.1% growth expected, while the Manufacturing Production rose 0.5% over the month in the same period, missing the estimated 1% increase. Mixed UK data have little to no impact on the Pound Sterling. 

Gold remains close to its highest level since October 21 amid Fed's dovish outlook

Gold remains on the back foot through the Asian session on Friday, though it lacks follow-through and trades near its highest level since October 21, touched the previous day. A generally positive tone around the equity markets undermines demand for traditional safe-haven assets and acts as a headwind for the commodity.

Bitcoin and Ethereum eyes breakout, Ripple steadies at support

Bitcoin and Ethereum are nearing the key resistance levels at the time of writing on Friday, and a successful breakout could open the door for a fresh rally. Meanwhile, Ripple is stabilizing around a crucial support zone, hinting at a potential rebound if buyers maintain control.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana dips as hawkish Fed cuts dampen market sentiment
Solana (SOL) price is trading below $130 at the time of writing on Thursday, after being rejected at the upper boundary of its falling wedge pattern. The broader market weakness following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cut has added to downside momentum.