AUD/USD gauges a cushion around 0.6760 ahead of Fed’s policy, risk-off mood still solid


  • AUD/USD is finding immediate support after dropping from above 0.6800 amid a cautious market mood.
  • Fed policymakers are advocating a deceleration in policy tightening pace to reduce financial risks.
  • Australian Employment Change is seen higher at 46.5K while the jobless rate is seen lower at 3.3%.

The AUD/USD pair is looking for a cushion after dropping from above the round-level resistance of 0.6800 in the Asian session. The Aussie asset is building a cushion around 0.6760. However, the bewildering inventory adjustment activity could lead to a further downfall as the risk-off impulse is still solid and has not displayed any sign of exhaustion yet.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is aiming to extend its gains above the immediate hurdle of 105.20 as investors are hiding behind a haven to dodge anxiety ahead of the monetary policy decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which is due on Wednesday.

S&P500 futures have turned cautious as the Fed is set to tighten policy further. While, the 10-year US Treasury yields have surrendered their gains and have dropped to 3.56% as the odds are favoring a less hawkish commentary from Fed chair Jerome Powell.

Less-than-projected October’s inflation report, decline in Producer Price Index (PPI) data, and a  severe drop in consumer spending in the United States economy favor a slowdown in the current pace of the interest rate hike by the Fed. Also, Fed policymakers are advocating a deceleration in policy tightening pace to reduce financial risks.

On the Aussie front, investors are shifting their focus toward the speech from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe, scheduled for Wednesday. The speech from RBA Governor will provide cues about the likely monetary policy action in the first monetary policy meeting of CY2023.

Apart from that, Australian employment data will be released on Thursday. The Employment Change is seen higher at 46.5K vs. the prior release of 32.2K. Also, the Unemployment Rate is seen lower at 3.3%. Upbeat payroll data will delight the RBA in hiking its interest rates further.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6764
Today Daily Change -0.0031
Today Daily Change % -0.46
Today daily open 0.6795
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6724
Daily SMA50 0.6527
Daily SMA100 0.668
Daily SMA200 0.691
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6814
Previous Daily Low 0.6744
Previous Weekly High 0.6851
Previous Weekly Low 0.6669
Previous Monthly High 0.6801
Previous Monthly Low 0.6272
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6787
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.677
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6754
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6714
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6684
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6824
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6854
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6894

 

 

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