|

AUD/USD flirts with two-month lows, around 0.7600 amid notable USD strength

  • AUD/USD struggled to capitalize on upbeat aussie jobs report-led modest intraday gains.
  • Hawkish Fed continued underpinning the USD and prompted fresh selling around the pair.
  • The risk-off mood also collaborated to drive flows away from the perceived riskier aussie.

The AUD/USD pair dropped to fresh session lows in the last hour, with bears now looking to extend the downward trajectory further below the 0.7600 mark.

The pair gained some positive traction during the early part of the trading action on Thursday and climbed to the 0.7645 region in reaction to the blow-out Australian jobs report. In fact, the number of employed people rose sharply, by 115.2K in May as against 30K anticipated and the jobless rate unexpectedly fell to 5.1% from the 5.5% previous.

The early uptick, however, turned out to be short-lived and ran out of steam rather quickly amid sustained US dollar buying interest. The key USD Index shot to the highest level in almost two months and remained well supported by the fact that the Fed signalled that it might raise interest rates at a much faster pace than anticipated previously.

The so-called dot plot pointed to two rate hikes by the end of 2023 as against March's projection for no increase until 2024. Moreover, seven FOMC members pencilled in a rate hike or more in 2022 as compared to four in March. This was accompanied by a significant upward revision of the economic projections, which continued to underpin the buck.

Meanwhile, a softer tone surrounding the US Treasury bond yields, to a larger extent, was offset by a sharp pullback in the equity markets. This was seen as another factor that benefitted the greenback's relative safe-haven status and drove flows away from the perceived riskier aussie, dragging the AUD/USD pair to the lowest level since May 13.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket – featuring the release of the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and the usual Initial Weekly Jobless Claims. This, along with the US bond yields, will influence the USD price dynamics. Apart from this, the broader market risk sentiment might also provide some impetus to the AUD/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7601
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open0.7609
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7727
Daily SMA500.7737
Daily SMA1000.7726
Daily SMA2000.7552
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7717
Previous Daily Low0.7607
Previous Weekly High0.7794
Previous Weekly Low0.7687
Previous Monthly High0.7892
Previous Monthly Low0.7674
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7649
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7675
Daily Pivot Point S10.7571
Daily Pivot Point S20.7534
Daily Pivot Point S30.7461
Daily Pivot Point R10.7682
Daily Pivot Point R20.7755
Daily Pivot Point R30.7792

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs close to monthly lows, still defends 0.7100 ahead of Fed decision

AUD/USD retains its negative bias for the third straight day, defending 0.7100 while trading close to a monthly low in Wednesday's Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar stands firm near a two-week high as the anticipated Fed rate hike and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to a multi-year high. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions benefit the safe-haven buck and weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie.

USD/JPY holds firm above 155.00, awaits Fed policy announcements

USD/JPY climbs to a fresh one-week high above 155.00 in the Asian session on Wednesday amid a bullish US Dollar. Oil-driven inflation fears, along with the anticipated Fed rate hike, continue to support surging US bond yields. Moreover, rising US-Iran tensions underpin the USD's reserve currency status. The pair, however, remains below the mid-155.00s as bulls seem hesitant ahead of the Fed decision later today and the BoJ meeting, starting on Thursday.

Gold traders seem noncommittal below $4,350; eyes Fed rate decision

Gold clings to modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session, albeit it lacks follow-through buying and remains below $4,350. The US Dollar eases from a two-week high amid some profit-taking, offering support to the commodity. Traders, however, seem hesitant to place aggressive directional bets and opt to wait on the sidelines heading into the key central bank event risk.

Cardano's bearish breakout warns of a 15% downside risk
Cardano (ADA) hovers around $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday after a 6% decline the previous day, breaking below a crucial support level. Declining on-chain activity across the Cardano ecosystem, with reduced transaction count and Real Economic Value (REV), suggests waning user demand.
Fed decision in focus

Starting with the most important, the Fed decision. Heading into the event, data showed a rather punchy US August jobs report, which, you will likely recall, triggered a hawkish Fed rate repricing in rates markets. However, the recent US August CPI print mattered more.

How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.