|

AUD/USD flirting with daily lows, below mid-0.6700s

  • US-China trade concerns continue to weigh on the Aussie.
  • Disappointing domestic data further adds to the selling bias.
  • Now seems vulnerable amid a pickup in the USD demand.

The AUD/USD pair extended its steady intraday slide and is currently placed at the lower end of its daily trading range - below mid-0.6700s.
 
After an initial uptick to an intraday high level of 0.6762, the pair met with some fresh supply and turned lower for the second consecutive session - also marking its fourth day of a downtick in the previous five - following the release of dismal Aussie construction data.

Dovish RBA expectations exert fresh pressure

Following a 1.9% contraction in the first quarter of 2019, construction work done fell 3.8% during the second quarter - the largest contraction since the fourth quarter of 2017 - and reinforced market speculations for a further monetary easing by the RBA later this year.
 
Against the backdrop of fading optimism over a quick resolution of the prolonged US-China trade disputes, dovish RBA expectations exerted some fresh downward pressure on the China-proxy Australian Dollar amid a modest pickup in the US Dollar demand.
 
Despite the fact that the US bond yield curve inversion deepened to the lowest level since 2007 on Tuesday amid growing concerns about global economic growth, the greenback managed to find some traction and was being supported by the overnight upbeat release of US consumer confidence data.
 
In absence of any major market-moving economic releases from the US, it will be interesting to see if the pair is able to attract any buying interest at lower levels or the current pullback marks the resumption of the prior/well-established bearish trend, back towards testing sub-0.6700 level or multi-year lows.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6738
Today Daily Change-0.0014
Today Daily Change %-0.21
Today daily open0.6752
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6776
Daily SMA500.6897
Daily SMA1000.6945
Daily SMA2000.7044
Levels
Previous Daily High0.678
Previous Daily Low0.6746
Previous Weekly High0.68
Previous Weekly Low0.6736
Previous Monthly High0.7082
Previous Monthly Low0.6832
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6759
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6767
Daily Pivot Point S10.6739
Daily Pivot Point S20.6725
Daily Pivot Point S30.6704
Daily Pivot Point R10.6773
Daily Pivot Point R20.6794
Daily Pivot Point R30.6807

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Breaking: US Trump strikes Venezuela, claims President Maduro was captured and flown out of the country

United States (US) President Donald Trump has fulfilled his threats and finally struck Venezuela. Different media reports that explosions in Caracas began around 1:50 am local time on Saturday, leaving multiple areas of the city without power.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).