|

AUD/USD finds some support above the 0.6500 mark, Australian CPI data eyed

  • AUD/USD trades on a weaker note near 0.6512 in Monday’s early Asian session.
  • Fed’s Powell said officials want to feel more confident that inflation is headed toward the central bank’s 2% target before cutting the rates.
  • The further positive development surrounding Chinese macro policy could lift the Aussie.
  • The Australian February CPI inflation data and US Q4 GDP numbers will be in the spotlight this week. 

The AUD/USD pair finds some support above the 0.6500 mark during the early Asian session on Monday. The pair edges lower amid the further gains of the US Dollar (USD). Investors will monitor the Australian monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February and the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter. At the press time, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6512, losing 0.03% on the day.

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers indicated that they will be in a position to cut interest rates when they have confidence that inflation is progressing towards the 2.0% target. The Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during the press conference that a surprise increase in unemployment could prompt the Fed to lower rates. The Fed also stuck with its earlier forecast for three rate cuts before the year's end based on its dot plot.

On the other hand, China's Premier Li Qiang said on Sunday that the nation’s low inflation and low central government debt ratio means there is ample room for macro policy. The Chinese government will issue ultralong special treasury bonds worth one trillion yuan, which will effectively support investment and stabilize economic growth. Furthermore, the Chinese authorities will work to prevent system risks and push for long-term and healthy development of China's economy. The further positive development surrounding Chinese stimulus measures and macro policy could boost the China-proxy Australian Dollar (AUD) against the Greenback.

Market players, we will keep an eye on the Australian CPI inflation data on Wednesday, which is expected to show an increase of 3.6% YoY February from 3.4% in the previous reading. On Thursday, the Australian February Retail Sales and the US GDP growth numbers for Q4 will be released. Traders will take cues from these events and find trading opportunities around the AUD/USD pair ahead of the Good Friday holiday on Friday.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6515
Today Daily Change0.0000
Today Daily Change %-0.00
Today daily open0.6515
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6559
Daily SMA500.6554
Daily SMA1000.6593
Daily SMA2000.6554
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6577
Previous Daily Low0.651
Previous Weekly High0.6634
Previous Weekly Low0.6504
Previous Monthly High0.661
Previous Monthly Low0.6443
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6536
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6551
Daily Pivot Point S10.6491
Daily Pivot Point S20.6467
Daily Pivot Point S30.6424
Daily Pivot Point R10.6558
Daily Pivot Point R20.6601
Daily Pivot Point R30.6624

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD looks inconclusive near 0.7120

AUD/USD has been struggling for direction on Monday, coming under fresh downside pressure soon after retesting the 0.7140 area and looking to stabilise in the low 0.7100s ahead of the opening bell in Asia on Tuesday. The pair’s daily decline comes on the back of the generalised improvement in the sentiment surrounding the Greenback.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold meets resistance around $4,400

Gold kicks in the new trading with on the back foot, keeping its trade near $4,350 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s correction comes on the back of the firmer US Dollar and espite declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin and Gold Outlook: BTC surges past $85K as Gold slips
Bitcoin (BTC) rises alongside the broader cryptocurrency market on Monday, trading near $86,000 at the time of writing. The Crypto King has maintained a robust bullish outlook since September 16 and is currently targeting a short-term breakout to the resistance range between $88,000 and $90,000. Meanwhile, Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure as it posts a minor correction.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.