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AUD/USD fails to hold above 0.7500, eyes on US CPI data

  • AUD/USD fluctuates in a tight range for the second straight day.
  • Annual CPI in US is expected to decline to 4.9% in June.
  • US Dollar Index edges higher toward 92.50 on Tuesday.

The AUD/USD pair closed the first day of the week virtually unchanged and seems to be having a difficult time making a decisive move in either direction on Tuesday. After rising to a daily high of 0.7503, the pair reversed its direction and was last seen trading flat on the day at 0.7477.

Earlier in the day, the data from Australia showed that the National Australia Bank's Business Confidence Index dropped to 11 in June from 20 in May, compared to the market expectation of 23. Additionally, the Business Conditions Index fell to 24 from 36 and missed analysts' estimate of 33. On a positive note, HIA New Hom Sales increased by 14.8% on a monthly basis in June but this print failed to help the AUD gather strength.

DXY holds in the positive territory

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which managed to post modest daily gains on Monday, continues to push higher ahead of the June inflation report from the US. Currently, the DXY is up 0.16% at 92.38.

Investors expect the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to edge lower to 4.9% on a yearly basis from 5% in May. A stronger-than-expected reading is likely to allow the greenback to preserve its strength against its rivals. On the other hand, a soft inflation figure is likely to weigh on the USD and provide a boost to AUD/USD:

US Consumer Price Index June Preview: Has inflation peaked?

Technical levels to watch for

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7484
Today Daily Change0.0009
Today Daily Change %0.12
Today daily open0.7475
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7532
Daily SMA500.7663
Daily SMA1000.769
Daily SMA2000.7581
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7496
Previous Daily Low0.7448
Previous Weekly High0.7599
Previous Weekly Low0.7409
Previous Monthly High0.7794
Previous Monthly Low0.7477
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7466
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7477
Daily Pivot Point S10.745
Daily Pivot Point S20.7424
Daily Pivot Point S30.7401
Daily Pivot Point R10.7498
Daily Pivot Point R20.7521
Daily Pivot Point R30.7547

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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