- AUD/USD struggled around 0.6800 and dropped towards its daily lows below 0.6730s, losses 0.86%.
- Last week’s US inflation data and the Consumer Price Index on Tuesday underpin the US Dollar.
- AUD/USD traders eye Australia’s Business Confidence and Conditions ahead of the US CPI.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) snapped three days of gains and dropped 0.84%, following last Friday’s US producer’s inflation data, ahead of the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the United States (US). An upbeat sentiment that usually bolsters the AUD/USD keeps the AUD pressured. Therefore, the AUD/USD is trading at 0.6735 after hitting a daily high, shy of the 0.6800 figure.
US Consumer Price Index looming, a headwind for the AUD/USD
Risk appetite improved, as shown by US equities rising. The lack of economic data from the US and Australia kept investors digging into last week’s US economic data. The Department of Labor revealed last Friday that the Producer Price Index (PPI) rose for three consecutive months, exceeding expectations on an annual base. At 7.4% year-over-year and 6.2%, excluding food and energy prices, such figures indicate inflation being stubbornly stickier than expected. Also, the consumer sentiment improved to 59.1 from 56 .8 according to the University of Michigan’s data released Friday, although inflation projections dropped slightly, with one-year horizon forecasts dropping to 4.6% from 4.9%.
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) could be a catalyst in determining the AUD/USD pair direction. The CPI is expected to decrease from 7.7% YoY to 7.3%, while core CPI is foreseen to fall from 6.3% to 6%. If findings indicate cooling inflation conditions, it may result in the US Dollar weakening further.
The Australian side's lack of economic data leaves the AUD adrift to market sentiment and China’s developments. Despite re-opening many areas in China, investors remain cautious about making decisions with uncertainties surrounding how rising Covid cases could affect economic activity. Recently, Chinese authorities have taken steps such as shutting down their tracking app and removing all “at risk” decrees from Shanghai effective December 13th, hopefully providing further insight into future developments.
On Tuesday, the Australian economic calendar will feature Business Confidence and Business Conditions, both released revealed by the National Bank of Australia. This comes in anticipation of the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on Tuesday and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision on Wednesday.
AUD/USD Key Technical Levels
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD keeps range near 1.0650 ahead of German IFO survey
EUR/USD is keeping its range play intact near 1.0650 in the early European hours on Monday. Markets stay risk-averse, weighing the Fed's 'higher-for-longer' rate view and lingering China's property market woes. Germany's IFO survey eyed.
GBP/USD remains on the defensive below the 1.2250
GBP/USD remains on the defensive below the mid-1.2200s early Monday. The US Dollar is clinging to the previous week's gains alongside firmer US Treasury bond yields while the Pound Sterling weighs the Fed-BoE policy divergence amid a quiet calendar.
Gold remains stuck below key averages, what’s next?
Gold price is easing toward $1,920, making it for a negative start to a key week ahead. The United States Dollar (USD) and the US Treasury bond yields have entered a phase of consolidation near last week’s high, as investors look to this week’s inflation data from the US and Europe for a fresh directional impetus.
Ethereum whales prepare ahead of futures Ethereum ETF approval on October 2
Ethereum price is likely going to witness a massive spike in volatility soon due to the circumstances surrounding the approval of the token’s futures Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). According to Twitter users, the ETF is likely going to be approved on October 2.
Is inflation falling further?
A first flash estimate of Eurozone inflation in September is expected. In August, inflation fell slightly to 5.2%. While the downward pressure from energy prices has eased slightly, the momentum of food prices has continued to decline.