|

AUD/USD eyes more downside below 0.6570 on RBA Lowe’s less hawkish remarks

  • AUD/USD is expected to deliver more losses below 0.6570 as RBA’s Lowe has considered a pause in the policy-tightening spell.
  • Mounting fears of a recession in the United States have triggered the risk-aversion theme.
  • RBA’s Lowe believes the reopening of the Chinese economy will positive for the Australian economy.

The AUD/USD pair is demonstrating volatility contraction after a perpendicular downside move inspired by extremely hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell. The Aussie asset is displaying back-and-forth action below 0.6600 and is expected to display more weakness amid less-hawkish commentary from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe despite a one-time slash in Australian inflation.

S&P500 futures have surrendered their nominal losses earned in the early Asian session as the risk profile is getting depressed further. Mounting fears of a recession in the United States have triggered the risk-aversion theme. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has resumed its upside journey and has scaled to a fresh three-month high above 105.70. The alpha generated on 10-year US Treasury bonds has recaptured the 4.0% resistance.

The remarks from RBA Governor Philip Lowe are impacting the Australian Dollar. RBA’s Lowe cited “The central bank is closer to pausing its aggressive cycle of rate increases as the policy is now in the restrictive territory and there are signs the economy was responding.” It seems that the slowdown in January’s monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) has infused confidence in the sentiment of RBA’s Lowe.

Apart from that, RBA’s Lowe believes that the reopening of the Chinese economy will positive for the Australian economy. It is worth noting that Australia is a leading trading partner of China and a gloomy economic outlook of china will support the Australian Dollar.

Going forward, the US Dollar will be guided by the United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change (Feb) data. According to the estimates, the US economy has added fresh payrolls by 200K, higher than the former release of 106K.

Later this week, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data will provide more clarity. Along with that, the release of the Unemployment Rate and Average Hourly Earnings data will be of utmost importance.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6585
Today Daily Change-0.0007
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open0.6592
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6828
Daily SMA500.6896
Daily SMA1000.6757
Daily SMA2000.6787
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6748
Previous Daily Low0.6581
Previous Weekly High0.6784
Previous Weekly Low0.6695
Previous Monthly High0.7158
Previous Monthly Low0.6698
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6645
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6684
Daily Pivot Point S10.6533
Daily Pivot Point S20.6474
Daily Pivot Point S30.6366
Daily Pivot Point R10.6699
Daily Pivot Point R20.6807
Daily Pivot Point R30.6866

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to positive bias above 0.7100; lacks bullish conviction

AUD/USD trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, holding above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Friday as softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot. Furthermore, hawkish RBA Governor Bullock's comments boost rate hike bets and support the Aussie. However, the Fed's hawkish outlook, along with geopolitical uncertainties, limits USD losses and caps the pair.

USD/JPY approaches 158.00 as Japanese Yen resumes decline

USD/JPY is resuming its upside in the European session on Friday, refreshing two-week highs and nearing 158.00. The Japanese Yen extends losses, despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) expected rate hike to 1.25% and hawkish Governor Ueda's comments, as two surprise dissents against the rate hike weigh on it.

Gold keeps the bid tone in place; still below $4,400

Gold adds to the optimism seen in the second half of the week, trading with decent gains just below the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s advance finds traction in declining crude oil prices and fresh selling pressure on the US Dollar.

Why altcoin season isn't coming back — and what stole its capital
If, after two years of being frozen in ice, Katara and Sokka woke you up to the crypto market, it would seem like 100 years have passed. With Bitcoin soaring to record highs just over a year ago, everyone expected a routine altcoin season, where investors take profits from the top crypto to chase higher returns in altcoins.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The BoJ raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks. Governor Kazuo Ueda said the policy phase had changed.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.