|

AUD/USD edges higher to 9-day tops above 0.7130 on improved sentiment

  • US Dollar Index stages a modest recovery on Friday.
  • Import prices in the U.S. rise more than expected in September.
  • Wall Street starts the day with strong gains. 

Following yesterday's impressive upsurge, the AUD/USD pair stayed relatively calm in a tight range above 0.71 for the majority of the day on Friday before gaining traction in the last hour. As of writing, the pair was trading at 0.7135, adding 0.15% on the day.

In the aftermath of the high volatility witnessed in the second half of the week, investors seem to have taken a backseat on Friday. The US Dollar Index, which dipped below the critical 95 handle, is now making a correction and was last seen up 0.2% on the day at 95.23. Earlier in the session, the data from the U.S. showed that the import price index rose 0.5% in September following August's 0.4% decline and surpassed the market expectation of 0.2%.

Meanwhile, in an interview with CNBC, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans argued that a slightly restrictive Fed policy, which could translate to 50 basis points above the neutral rate, would be appropriate.

Despite the modest USD strength, however, the improved market sentiment is helping risk-sensitive currencies such as the AUD on Friday. After suffering heavy losses for two straight days, major equity indexes in the U.S. started the day sharply higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 are adding 1.5% and 1%, respectively, in the first hour of trading. 

Technical levels to consider

The initial resistance for the pair could be seen at 0.7170 (20-DMA) ahead of 0.7210 (50-DMA) and 0.7270 (Sep. 27 high). On the downside, supports are located at 0.7110 (daily low), 0.7040 (Oct. 5 low), and 0.7000 (psychological level).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD revisits 1.3530; Dollar pushes harder

GBP/USD adds to the weekly correction and recedes toward the 1.3530 zone on Friday. Indeed, Cable faces increasing selling pressure on the back of extra gains in the Greenback, particularly fuelled by Chair Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and the US NFP Annual Revision (-79K).

EUR/USD breaches below 1.1600, multi-day lows

EUR/USD now accelerates its decline and retreats to seven-day troughs in the sub-1.1600 region at the end of the week. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of the strong rebound in the US Dollar after Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish message in Jackson Hole, while the US NFP Annual Revision came in at -79K.

Gold challenges its 200-day SMA near $4,530

Gold’s decline gathers fresh steam, hitting weekly lows while disputing its critical 200-day SMA near $4,530 per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s increasing weakness comes in response to the generalised upbeat tone in the US Dollar and the widespread rebound in US Treasury yields, as investors continue to reprice a Fed rate hike in September.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rally loses steam despite steady ETF inflows

Bitcoin is back below $80,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after a second attempt at breaking resistance between $81,000 and $82,000. Meanwhile, Ethereum and Ripple mirror Bitcoin’s cooling trend, with ETH sliding to $2,500 and XRP falling toward $1.40 support.

Week ahead – RBNZ and BoC decide on rates ahead of all-important US NFP

Dollar rebounds ahead of ISM PMI and NFP data. RBNZ is expected to raise rates; focus to fall on forward guidance. BoC is set to remain on hold; will it raise rates in 2027?

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.