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AUD/USD drops to fresh two-week low, back below 0.7100 on hotter-than-expected US CPI

  • AUD/USD turned lower for the third straight day in reaction to stronger US inflation figures.
  • The latest US CPI report reaffirmed hawkish Fed expectations and boosted the greenback.
  • The risk-off impulse further underpinned the buck and weighed on the risk-sensitive aussie.

The AUD/USD pair witnessed aggressive selling during the early North American session and turned lower for the third successive day in reaction to stronger US consumer inflation figures. The pair was last seen trading around the 0.7080-0.7075 region, or over a two-week low, down 0.25% for the day.

According to the data released this Friday, the headline US CPI rose to 1.0% MoM in May as against 0.7% expected and the yearly rate unexpectedly jumped to a fresh 40-year high level of 8.6%. Adding to this, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, came in at 0.6% MoM and 6.0% YoY rate versus consensus estimates for a reading of 0.5% and 5.9%, respectively.

The data reaffirmed market bets that the Fed would need to tighten its monetary policy at a faster pace to curb soaring inflation. This was reinforced by a fresh leg up in the US Treasury bond yields, which, along with a steep fall in the equity markets, pushed the safe-haven US dollar to a fresh three-week high and exerted heavy downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair.

Given the overnight break below the 0.7150 horizontal support, the emergence of fresh selling on Friday favours bearish traders and supports prospects for further losses. Hence, some follow-through weakness, towards testing the 0.7000 psychological mark, now looks like a distinct possibility. The downward trajectory could further get extended towards the 0.6945 support zone.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7131
Today Daily Change0.0033
Today Daily Change %0.46
Today daily open0.7098
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7115
Daily SMA500.7204
Daily SMA1000.7229
Daily SMA2000.7255
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7203
Previous Daily Low0.7092
Previous Weekly High0.7283
Previous Weekly Low0.714
Previous Monthly High0.7267
Previous Monthly Low0.6828
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7134
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7161
Daily Pivot Point S10.7059
Daily Pivot Point S20.702
Daily Pivot Point S30.6948
Daily Pivot Point R10.717
Daily Pivot Point R20.7242
Daily Pivot Point R30.7281

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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