AUD/USD dips below 0.71 for the first time since February 2016

The AUD/USD prints 19-month low of 0.7092 in Asia.
The mixed National Australia Bank (NAB) survey indices have done little to put a bid under the AUD.

Omkar Godbole FXStreet Contributor

The AUD/USD pair fell to 0.7092 in Asia, the lowest level since February 2016, and was last seen trading at 0.71.

The NAB data released a few minutes ago showed the business conditions index ticked higher to 15 in August as expected from the previous month's print of 12. Meanwhile, the business confidence reading fell to 4 from the July figure of 7.

An uptick in the business conditions index, though good news, is not helping the Aussie dollar regain poise.

Moreover, the Australian currency is down more than 12 percent from the yearly high of 0.8136 in January and could extend the decline towards 0.6827 (February 2016 low) if the US President Trump opts for an all-out war against China.

The long-term technical studies - bear flag breakdown as seen on the monthly chart - also favors a drop to lows below 0.69.

However, the 14-week relative strength index is flashing oversold conditions and that may weaken the bearish momentum.

AUD/USD Technical Levels

Resistance: 0.7145 (Sep. 5 low), 0.7185 (10-day moving average), 0.7202 (Aug. 15 low)

Support: 0.7081 (pivot S1), 0.7048 (pivot S2), 0.70 (psychological support)

	TREND INDEX	OB/OS INDEX	VOLATILY INDEX
15M	Strongly Bearish	Neutral	High
1H	Bullish	Oversold	Low
4H	Strongly Bearish	Oversold	Shrinking
1D	Bearish	Oversold	High
1W	Bearish	Oversold	High
Updated Sep 11, 01:45 GMT

Author

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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