|

AUD/USD corrective mode intact on China trade, US elections eyed

The AUD/USD pair keeps its corrective-mode intact from yesterday’s risk-on rally, following the release of sluggish Chinese trade balance data, with all eyes centered on today’s US elections.

AUD/USD below 0.7700

Currently, the AUD/USD pair drops -0.50% to fresh session lows of 0.7690, having failed to hold near 3-week tops reached at 0.7730 a day before. The Aussie extends its corrective slide and gives up 0.77 handle, as below estimates Chinese trade data dampened the sentiment around the AUD. China is Australia’s biggest export destination.

The China Customs showed that October (CNY terms) exports (YoY) slumped -3.2% versus est. -0.8%, prev. -5.6%, while imports (YoY) stood at 3.2% versus est. 5.0%, prev. 2.2%.

Moreover, a bout of profit-taking in the AUD/USD pair cannot be ruled out after the recent strength, as markets look to clear out positions ahead of the key risk event for the fx space today, the US presidential elections.

On Monday, the major rallied to the highest levels in three-weeks above 0.77 handle after risk-appetite returned to markets on increased odds of a Clinton win and FBI clearances of Clinton’s emails.

AUD/USD Levels to watch   

The pair finds the immediate resistance at 0.7730 (3-week highs) above which gains could be extended to the next hurdle located 0.7750 (psychological levels) and 0.7783 (daily R2). On the flip side, the immediate support located 0.7658/47 (10 & 20-DMA). Selling pressure is likely to intensify below the last, dragging the Aussie to 0.7609/01 (Nov 2 low/ 100-DMA) and below that at 0.7539 (200-DMA).

To learn more about this topic, check our video analysis

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 on fresh USD supply

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar retreats from 17-month highs as traders take profits off the table ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar draws support from reviving expectations of a November interest rate hike amid elevated global yields and inflation risks.


USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 as USD retreats ahead of NFP

USD/JPY is struggling for fresh impetus near 158.00, moving away from the top end of its weekly range in the Asian session on Friday, after hotter-than-expected Tokyo CPI and amid a broad US Dollar retreat. Traders reposition themselves ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls.

Gold fades the earlier optimism; back below $4,200

Gold could not sustain the post-NFP bull run past the $4,200 mark per troy ounce, receding toward the $4,180 region at the end of the week. The precious metal’s inconclusive price action comes amid fresh selling pressure hurting the US Dollar as investors assess the latest NFP data.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP gains reinforce bullish outlook

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly recovering on Friday, led by Bitcoin moving above $86,000. Ethereum has reaffirmed its bullish outlook, rising above $2,700 while the immediate area at $2,800 caps upside. Meanwhile, Ripple hovers near $1.54.

Week ahead – Fed minutes in the spotlight amid bond market rout

Energy crisis and soaring bond yields to stay in driver’s seat in quiet week. Fed minutes eyed after drop in October rate hike bets. ISM services PMI and Treasury auctions to be watched too. Canadian employment, Japanese wages and ECB minutes also on tap.

The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.