|

AUD/USD continues to soften, pummeled by trade angst

  • Aussie on the decline as risk appetite continues to sour on trade tensions.
  • US CPI readings will be the key data event for Thursday.

The AUD/USD has stepped into 0.7360 following Wednesday's decline, and is heading into the overnight session with a firm bearish bias as the Greenback surges across the board, bolster4ed by renewed trade war fears.

US President Donald Trump is determined to see a trade war with China through to the end, and the US is set to begin imposing further tariffs on China, with another raft of import duties set to be imposed on a further $200 billion USD of Chinese goods within the coming weeks. Last Friday's reciprocal tariffs between the US and China saw neither side willing to back down, and Trump is doubling-down on his efforts to force economic concessions out of the world's second-largest economy. Fears of a ramping up trade war have taken the wind out of bulls' sails, leaving market flows in full reverse as commodities and major equity indexes slump.

Thursday is lined up to be a thin showing for the Aussie on the economic calendar, with Consumer Inflation Expectations for July marked in for 01:00 GMT, which last came in at 4.2%. Inflation has been a vexing datapoint for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which has resigned itself to a wait-and-see stance, likely for the rest of the calendar year, as economic growth continues to be a lop-sided and sluggish problem for the central bank.

On the USD side, CPI figures will be dropping at 12:30 GMT, and the y/y  core CPI reading for June is forecast to tick up slightly, from the previous reading of 2.2% to 2.3%.

AUD/USD Levels to watch

The Aussie is on pace to mark in new lows for 2018, and as FXStreet's own Valeria Bednarik noted, "the 4 hours chart shows that the pair broke below all of its moving averages, while technical indicators accelerated south, now nearing their oversold readings almost vertically, supporting additional slides ahead toward the yearly low at 0.7310."

Support levels: 0.7340 0.7310 0.7280

Resistance levels: 0.7400 0.7445 0.7490

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 after mixed EU PMI data

EUR/USD manages to hold above 1.1750 but struggles to gather recovery momentum on Friday, following the mixed February PMI figures from Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, Q4 GDP, December inflation and February PMI data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.

GBP/USD recovers further toward 1.3500 after UK PMI data

GBP/USD is recovering ground further toward 1.3500 in European trading on Friday, helped by a modest uptick in the Pound Sterling after stronger-than-expected UK January Retail Sales and February PMI data. However, the pair's further upside could be limited amid persistent US Dollar strength as the focus turns to key US data. 

Gold sticks to positive bias above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold gains some positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. holding above $5,000. Traders now look forward to the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index – for fresh trading impetus. 

US GDP growth expected to slow down significantly in Q4 after stellar Q3 

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the first preliminary estimate of the fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product at 13:30 GMT. Analysts forecast the US economy to have expanded at a 3% annualized rate, slowing down from the 4.4% growth posted in the previous quarter.

Iran tensions and AI fears at the forefront ahead of key US data

Thursday’s scorecard shows major US Stock benchmarks closed modestly in the red amid mounting US-Iran tensions and AI disruption worries. The S&P 500 shed 19 points (0.3%) to 6,861, the Nasdaq 100 lost 101 points (0.4%) to 24,797, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 267 points (0.5%) to 49,395.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.