|

AUD/USD consolidated in a range above 0.7700 mark, US PMI/Powell's speech eyed

  • AUD/USD attracted some buying on Monday and stalled its recent slide from the 0.7815-20 area.
  • Dovish Fed expectations, the risk-on mood undermined the USD and extended some support.
  • Investors now eye US ISM PMI, Powell’s speech for some impetus ahead of the RBA on Tuesday.

The AUD/USD pair held on to its modest gains through the first half of the European session and was last seen hovering near the top end of its intraday trading range, around the 0.7725-30 region.

Having shown some resilience below the 0.7700 mark, the pair edged higher on the first day of a new week and recovered a part of Friday's decline to one-week lows. The AUD/USD pair, for now, seems to have stalled its recent sharp pullback from the 0.7815-20 heavy supply zone and was supported by a combination of factors.

The US dollar struggled to capitalize on last week's rebound from the lowest level since February 26 amid expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates low for a longer period. This, along with the prevalent risk-on mood, further undermined the safe-haven greenback and extended some support to the perceived riskier aussie.

The uptick marked the first day of a positive move in the previous three trading session, though lacked any strong follow-through. Investors now seemed reluctant to place any aggressive bets, rather preferred to wait on the sidelines ahead of the latest monetary policy update by the RBA, scheduled during the Asian session on Tuesday.

In the meantime, the US economic docket – featuring the release of the ISM Manufacturing PMI – will be looked upon for some impetus. Apart from this, a scheduled speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell will influence the USD price dynamics and further contribute to producing some short-term trading opportunities around the AUD/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7727
Today Daily Change0.0011
Today Daily Change %0.14
Today daily open0.7716
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7709
Daily SMA500.772
Daily SMA1000.7703
Daily SMA2000.7465
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7785
Previous Daily Low0.7696
Previous Weekly High0.7819
Previous Weekly Low0.7696
Previous Monthly High0.7819
Previous Monthly Low0.7531
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.773
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7751
Daily Pivot Point S10.768
Daily Pivot Point S20.7643
Daily Pivot Point S30.759
Daily Pivot Point R10.7769
Daily Pivot Point R20.7822
Daily Pivot Point R30.7859

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.