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AUD/USD bulls manage to defend 0.70 handle, at least for now

  • The USD remains supported by tempered expectations for aggressive easing by the Fed.
  • Resurfacing US-China trade tensions further undermine the China-proxy Australian Dollar.
  • Traders now look forward to the US housing market data for some short-term opportunities.

The AUD/USD pair lacked any firm directional bias and seesawed between tepid gains/minor losses, above the key 0.7000 psychological mark through the early European session on Wednesday.

The pair extended the previous session's pullback from the 0.7045-50 supply zone, or 1-1/2 week tops, and was further weighed down by resurfacing US-China trade tensions, especially after the US President Donald Trump trashed hopes for a quick resolution to the prolonged US-China trade tensions.

Trump on Tuesday said that we have a long way to go before any deal and further added that he could impose tariffs on another $325 billion of Chinese imports. This coupled with a slight deterioration in the global risk sentiment exerted some fresh downward pressure on the perceived riskier, China-proxy Australian Dollar. 

On the other hand, the US Dollar remained supported by Tuesday's upbeat US retail sales data for June, which forced investors to scale back possibilities of an aggressive monetary policy easing by the Fed when it announces its latest monetary policy decision following the conclusion of a two-day meeting on July 30-31.

It would now be interesting to see if the pair can attract any fresh buying interest at lower levels or the current pullback reaffirms a strong barrier near mid-0.7000s, setting the stage for the resumption of the prior/well-established bearish trend.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the release of housing market data - building permits and housing starts, due later during the early North-American session, in order to grab some meaningful trading opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.701
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open0.7012
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6978
Daily SMA500.695
Daily SMA1000.702
Daily SMA2000.7092
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7045
Previous Daily Low0.7009
Previous Weekly High0.7026
Previous Weekly Low0.6909
Previous Monthly High0.7026
Previous Monthly Low0.6831
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7023
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7031
Daily Pivot Point S10.6999
Daily Pivot Point S20.6986
Daily Pivot Point S30.6963
Daily Pivot Point R10.7035
Daily Pivot Point R20.7058
Daily Pivot Point R30.7071

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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