|

AUD/NZD seesaws around 1.0460-80 range ahead Australian CPI figures

  • Australia’s inflation figures for the third quarter could boost the AUD/NZD.
  • Worse than expected, New Zealand Trade Balance figures strengthened the kiwi but gave back its gains.
  • AUD/NZD: In the 1-hour chart, a break above 1.0500 would open the doors for a 1.0600 test.

The AUD/NZD barely climbs during the Asian session, is up 0.10%, is trading at 1.0485. Futures in Asia are mixed, with the FTSE China A50 and the Hang-Seng futures in the red, whereas the Nikkei 225, Topix, and the S&P/ASX 200 futures record gains.

As the Asian session began, the AUD/NZD dropped to 1.0460 on worse than expected New Zealand macroeconomic data but reversed its course towards current levels once investors dissected data.

The New Zealand Trade Balance deficit widened from $-2139M  to $-2171M in September on a monthly basis. Furthermore, Imports rose to $6.495 billion, outpacing Exports which expanded by $4.4 billion, as portrayed by the abovementioned. Both figures were higher than expected.

On Wednesday, the Australia macroeconomic docket will feature the RBA Trimmed Mean Core Price Index, and the Consumer Price Index for the Q3 is estimated at 0.5% and 0.8%, respectively.

AUD/NZD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The 1-hour chart depicts the AUD/NZD pair is trading within the 1.0450-80 range. The simple moving averages (SMA’s) are below the spot price, suggesting the pair has an upward bias, but as long as it remains below 1.0500 remains at risk of further downside pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator at 58 aims higher, confirming the upward bias. 

Nevertheless, a clear break above 1.0500 would open the door for further gains. In that outcome, the first resistance level would be the R3 pivot point level at 1.0521. A breach of the latter could expose 1.0562, followed by 1.0600.

On the flip side, a sustained break below 1.0450 could open the door for AUD/NZD sellers to push the pair towards 1.0400.

AUD/NZD ADDITIONAL LEVELS TO WATCH

 

Overview
Today last price1.0485
Today Daily Change0.0026
Today Daily Change %0.25
Today daily open1.0459
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.049
Daily SMA501.043
Daily SMA1001.0538
Daily SMA2001.0649
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0494
Previous Daily Low1.0434
Previous Weekly High1.0497
Previous Weekly Low1.0399
Previous Monthly High1.0489
Previous Monthly Low1.0278
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0471
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0457
Daily Pivot Point S11.0431
Daily Pivot Point S21.0403
Daily Pivot Point S31.0372
Daily Pivot Point R11.049
Daily Pivot Point R21.0522
Daily Pivot Point R31.055

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD treads water near 1.1800 ahead of ECB rate decision

EUR/USD is keeping its range at around 1.1800 in the European trading hours on Thursday. The pair awaits the European Central Bank interest rate decision for fresh impetus after the Eurozone inflation declined well below the central bank's 2% target. 

GBP/USD stays weak toward 1.3600 on BoE's 'Super Thursday'

GBP/USD holds its losses for the second successive session, directed toward 1.3600 in European trading on Thursday. The pair weakens as the Pound Sterling comes under pressure ahead of the Bank of England’s interest rate decision due later in the day.

Gold recovers major part of intraday losses to sub-$4,800 levels; down a little on firmer USD

Gold rebounds swiftly following the Asian session fall to sub-$4,800 levels and climbs back above the $4,900 mark in the last hour, though the upside potential seems limited. Wednesday's softer US ADP report pointed to labor market weakness and strengthened the case for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, lending support to the non-yielding yellow metal.

BTC steadies as bears shift focus toward $70,000

Bitcoin price remains under pressure so far this week, with the Crypto King slipping below $73,000 on Tuesday for the first time since November 2024. The price dip in BTC was fueled as the news came in late Tuesday that the US military shot down an Iranian drone that “aggressively” approached the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea. 

European Central Bank seen holding interest rates, reinforcing its wait-and-see stance

The European Central Bank is holding its two-day meeting and will announce its monetary policy decision on Thursday. The ECB is widely expected to keep interest rates on hold for the fifth consecutive meeting, leaving the main refinancing operations, the marginal lending facility, and the deposit facility at 2.15%, 2.4%, and 2%, respectively.

Top Crypto Losers: Zcash, Stacks, BNB drop further as Bitcoin weakens

Zcash, Stacks, and BNB (formerly Binance Coin) are among the biggest losers over the last 24 hours as Bitcoin approaches $72,000. The correction is driven by multiple factors, including massive, steady outflows from institutions and large-wallet investors, broader-market risk-off sentiment, and the delay in the Digital Asset Clarity Act.