|

AUD/NZD rallies to 1.1130 area, closer to multi-month top after RBA’s 25 bps rate cut

  • AUD/NZD rebounds swiftly from over a one-week low touched earlier this Tuesday.
  • The move up picks up pace after the RBA’s widely expected 25 bps interest rate cut.
  • Traders now look forward to the post-meeting press conference for a fresh impetus.

The AUD/NZD cross stages a goodish rebound from over a one-week low, around the 1.1075 region touched during the Asian session on Tuesday, and gains follow-through traction after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced its policy decision. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1130 area, up nearly 0.50% for the day, and remain close to a multi-month peak touched last week. 

The RBA board members decided to lower the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) from 4.35% to 4.1% at the end of the February policy meeting. This was the first RBA rate cut since November 2020 and was fully priced in the market. In the absence of fresh dovish signals, the Australian Dollar (AUD) strengthens across the board and turns out to be a key factor that provides a goodish lift to the AUD/NZD cross. 

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD), on the other hand, continues with its relative underperformance amid rising bets that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will deliver a third supersized rate cut later this month. This further contributes to the strong bid tone surrounding the AUD/NZD cross. Traders now look to the RBA's post-meeting presser, where comments from RBA Governor Michele Bullock might influence the AUD.

Economic Indicator

RBA Interest Rate Decision

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announces its interest rate decision at the end of its eight scheduled meetings per year. If the RBA is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and raises interest rates it is usually bullish for the Australian Dollar (AUD). Likewise, if the RBA has a dovish view on the Australian economy and keeps interest rates unchanged, or cuts them, it is seen as bearish for AUD.

Read more.

Last release: Tue Feb 18, 2025 03:30

Frequency: Irregular

Actual: 4.1%

Consensus: 4.1%

Previous: 4.35%

Source: Reserve Bank of Australia

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).