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AUD/NZD Price Analysis: Bears in control below 1.0700 on Lowe's dovish outlook

  • AUD/NZD has been moving in continuous downward momentum since it made a high of 1.0816 on June 11.
  • Cross hangs near multi-month support, weakness persist below 1.0670
  • Momentum oscillators indicate underlying bearish sentiment.

AUD/NZD pares part to its previous day’s loss in Thursday's Asian session. The pair struggles after the Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Philip Lowe said virus outbreak and extended lockdowns made economic recovery uncertain. The inflation is not expected to come at the central's banks target range before 2024.

At the time of writing, AUD/NZD is trading at 1.0675, up 0.11% for the day.

AUD/NZD daily chart

On the daily chart, the AUD/NZD pair has been trading below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 1.0750 since June 30. 

As the pair is still performing under pressure,  a  sustained move below the intraday low would bring more weakness. 

In doing so, the first lower target is found at the 1.0645 horizontal support level.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator trades below the midline with a bearish crossover.  Any downtick in the MACD would accelerate the selling toward May 27 low at 1.0599.

Next, AUD/NZD bears would target the low of February 4 at 1.0564.

Alternatively, if price moves higher, it would retest the 1.0697, high made a day earlier.

Further, above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, which extends from the low of 1.0599 would invite bulls to touch the high made on July 6 at 1.0730.

AUD/NZD additional levels

AUD/NZD

Overview
Today last price1.0675
Today Daily Change0.0010
Today Daily Change %0.09
Today daily open1.0665
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0752
Daily SMA501.0743
Daily SMA1001.077
Daily SMA2001.0722
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0697
Previous Daily Low1.0657
Previous Weekly High1.0771
Previous Weekly Low1.0692
Previous Monthly High1.0817
Previous Monthly Low1.0622
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0672
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0682
Daily Pivot Point S11.0649
Daily Pivot Point S21.0632
Daily Pivot Point S31.0608
Daily Pivot Point R11.0689
Daily Pivot Point R21.0713
Daily Pivot Point R31.0729

Market Participants will keep their eyes on the 1.0750 horizontal resistance level.

Author

Rekha Chauhan

Rekha Chauhan

Independent Analyst

Rekha Chauhan has been working as a content writer and research analyst in the forex and equity market domain for over two years.

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