|

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Slips below 94.00 as Middle East de-escalation lifts safe havens

  • AUD/JPY is down 0.06% after failing to clear the May 14 peak at 95.56.
  • RSI turns slightly lower; mixed signals keep traders focused on price structure.
  • Key support at 93.40/56; a break below could expose 93.00 and 92.63 Senkou Span B.

AUD/JPY retreats amid a risk-on mood, spurred by the de-escalation of the Middle East conflict. This pushed safe-haven currencies, except for the US Dollar (USD), higher during Tuesday’s session to the detriment of the Australian Dollar (AUD). At the time of writing, the cross-pair is trading below the 94.00 figure, down 0.06%.

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical Analysis

The trend remains down in the AUD/JPY cross-pair. Even though the Australian Dollar showed signs of strength, its failure to clear the May 14 peak of 95.56 pushed the pair below the 94.00 figure, although it meanders around the latter.

In the short term, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) aims slightly lower, though it remains bullish. The mixed readings leave us as traders focused on price action.

Hence, if AUD/JPY clears the confluence of the Tenkan-sen and the Senkou Span A at around 93.40/56, look for a test of the Kijun-sen at 93.23. On further weakness, 93.00 will be exposed, followed by the Senkou Span B at 92.63.

Conversely, if AUD/JPY rises past 94.00, the first resistance would be 95.00, followed by 95.56, the May 14 high. Above this level, the next zone of interest will be the 96.00 figure.

AUD/JPY Price Chart – Daily

Australian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.00%-0.00%0.00%0.05%0.00%-0.02%-0.04%
EUR-0.01%-0.00%-0.05%0.03%-0.02%-0.07%-0.04%
GBP0.00%0.00%-0.02%0.02%0.00%-0.07%-0.01%
JPY0.00%0.05%0.02%0.05%0.04%0.00%0.04%
CAD-0.05%-0.03%-0.02%-0.05%0.00%0.02%-0.05%
AUD0.00%0.02%-0.01%-0.04%-0.01%-0.11%0.02%
NZD0.02%0.07%0.07%-0.01%-0.02%0.11%0.05%
CHF0.04%0.04%0.00%-0.04%0.05%-0.02%-0.05%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily tops near 1.1650 ahead of Fed

EUR/USD manages to regain the smile on Wednesday, trading with decent gains around 1.1650, or daily peaks. The pair's daily advance comes in response to further losses in the US Dollar as market participants get ready for the upcoming FOMC gathering, where the Fed is widely expected to lower its interest rates by a quarter point.

GBP/USD advances to 1.3350 amid USD selling

GBP/USD sets aside two daily declines in a row and manages to regain some balance beyond the 1.3300 hurdle on Wednesday. The better tone around Cable follows the renewed downside bias in the Greenback ahead of the much awaited interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve.

Gold aims north ahead of Fed’s announcement

Gold is a touch softer on Wednesday, even with the US Dollar easing and US Treasury yields reversing part of their recent robust multi-day recovery. The yellow metal remains cautious ahead of the widely expected 25 bps rate cut from the Fed and the release of an updated "dots plot".

Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates as disagreement among officials grows

The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, with markets widely expecting the US central bank to deliver a final 25 bps cut for 2025.

Q3 ECI: Cooling compensation growth a sign of jobs market softening

This morning's Employment Cost Index (ECI) reading offered additional evidence that the gradual softening in the labor market is translating to slower compensation growth.

Hyperliquid eyes $30 breakout despite declining staking balance

Hyperliquid is trading above $28.00 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after rebounding from support at $27.50. The broader cryptocurrency market is characterised by widespread intraday losses ahead of the Fed monetary policy decision.