|

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Edges higher in a multi-week-old range, up a little above mid-94.00s

  • AUD/JPY struggles to capitalize on modest Asian session uptick to over a one-month high.
  • The softer Tokyo CPI undermines the JPY and supports the cross amid a positive risk tone.
  • The bullish technical setup supports prospects for a breakout through a short-term range.

The AUD/JPY cross trims a part of modest Asian session gains to the 94.85 region, or the highest level since May 14, though it retains the positive bias amid mixed cues. Spot prices currently trade around the 94.60 area, up less than 0.10% for the day.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains on the back foot in the wake of a softer Tokyo CPI print, which reaffirmed expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will forgo raising interest rates this year. Apart from this, the upbeat market mood is seen undermining the JPY's safe-haven status and benefiting the risk-sensitive Aussie, lending some support to the AUD/JPY cross.

From a technical perspective, the range-bound price action witnessed over the past two weeks or so constitutes the formation of a rectangle chart pattern. This might still be categorized as a bullish consolidation phase amid still positive oscillators on the daily chart and suggests that the path of least resistance for the AUD/JPY cross remains to the upside.

However, it will still be prudent to wait for some follow-through buying beyond the 94.80-94.85 supply zone before positioning for any further gains. The subsequent strength above the 95.00 psychological mark could lift the AUD/JPY cross further and pave the way for a move towards testing the May monthly swing high, around the 95.55 region.

Meanwhile, any corrective pullback could be seen as a buying opportunity near the lower boundary of the trading range, around the 94.00-93.95 region. A convincing break below, however, would negate the constructive outlook and prompt some selling, which, in turn, could drag the AUD/JPY cross to the 93.30 support en route to the 93.00 round figure.

AUD/JPY 4-hour chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.07%0.04%0.13%0.04%0.07%0.04%0.15%
EUR-0.07%-0.08%0.03%-0.05%-0.03%-0.17%0.02%
GBP-0.04%0.08%0.14%0.00%0.04%-0.04%0.19%
JPY-0.13%-0.03%-0.14%-0.09%-0.07%-0.26%0.09%
CAD-0.04%0.05%-0.00%0.09%0.06%-0.12%0.15%
AUD-0.07%0.03%-0.04%0.07%-0.06%-0.13%0.13%
NZD-0.04%0.17%0.04%0.26%0.12%0.13%0.27%
CHF-0.15%-0.02%-0.19%-0.09%-0.15%-0.13%-0.27%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims intraday gains, stays flat around 1.1630

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel on Monday. Investors refrain from taking large positions ahead of this week's critical Fed policy meeting, allowing the pair to stay in a consolidation phase following two consecutive weeks of bullish action. US Dollar gains ground as risk aversion kicks in. 

GBP/USD edges lower toward 1.3300 as markets turn cautious

GBP/USD corrects lower toward 1.3300 on Monday after posting gains in the previous week. The markets adopt a cautious stance ahead of the highly-anticipated Fed meeting, making it difficult for the pair to gather bullish momentum. 

Gold remains seases below $4,200 as markets gear up for Fed

Gold turned south after Wall Street's opening, trading south of $4,200. The US Dollar finds additional legs on a souring mood on Monday as market participants prepare for the upcoming Fed meeting, which will provide key insights into the short-term policy outlook.

RBA expected to hold interest rate amid rising inflation, steady economic growth

The Reserve Bank of Australia is on track to leave the Official Cash Rate unadjusted at 3.6%, following the conclusion of its December monetary policy meeting on Tuesday. The decision will be announced at 03:30 GMT, accompanied by the Monetary Policy Statement. RBA Governor Michele Bullock’s press conference will follow at 04:30 GMT.

The Silver disconnection is real

Silver just hit a new all-time high. Neither did gold, nor mining stocks. They all reversed on an intraday basis, but silver’s move to new highs makes it still bullish overall, while the almost complete reversals in gold and miners make the latter technically bearish.

Top 3 Price Predictions: Bitcoin and Ethereum aim for breakouts as Ripple holds at $2

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record a minor recovery on Monday, starting the week on a positive note. The retail demand for major cryptocurrencies remains strong despite outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).