|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Surges to six-day high amid risk-on sentiment

  • AUD/JPY rises late in the session, supported by a risk-on sentiment fueled by Wall Street's advance.
  • Buyers in control as the pair surpasses 97.00, aiming for a daily close above 98.00 for further gains.
  • Despite the ascent, pullback risks persist; sellers may target levels below 97.00 for bearish momentum.

AUD/JPY edges higher late in Friday’s North American session, sponsored by a risk-on impulse, as the advance in Wall Street could appreciate it. Therefore, safe-haven peers are pressured while US Treasury yields retrace, a tailwind for riskier assets. At the time of writing, the AUD/JPY exchanged hands at 97.79, printing a new six-day high.

The pair began the week at around the lows of the week, below the Tenkan-Sen, but the AUD/JPY exchange rate was already above the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), suggesting that buyers were in charge. Consequently, they reclaimed 97.00 and, on Friday, extended its gains. Still, pullback risks remain, as buyers need a daily close above the 98.00 figure so they can remain hopeful of testing last year’s high of 98.58. Once those levels are surpassed, the next stop would be the 99.00 figure.

For a bearish case, sellers need to drive prices below 97.00, through the Tenkan Sen at 96.97, toward the January 16 low of 96.58. A breach of the latter will expose the Kijun-Sen at 96.18, ahead of the Senkou Span B and A, each at 96.14 and 96.01.

AUD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

AUD/JPY Key Technical Levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price97.72
Today Daily Change0.39
Today Daily Change %0.40
Today daily open97.33
 
Trends
Daily SMA2096.84
Daily SMA5096.88
Daily SMA10096.05
Daily SMA20094.66
 
Levels
Previous Daily High97.34
Previous Daily Low96.71
Previous Weekly High97.8
Previous Weekly Low96.15
Previous Monthly High98.07
Previous Monthly Low93.73
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%97.1
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%96.96
Daily Pivot Point S196.92
Daily Pivot Point S296.5
Daily Pivot Point S396.28
Daily Pivot Point R197.55
Daily Pivot Point R297.76
Daily Pivot Point R398.18

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds steady near 0.7200 amid escalating US-Iran tensions

AUD/USD consolidates just below its highest level since mid-May, touched on Friday, and hovers around 0.7200 at the start of a new week amid mixed cues. Hawkish RBA expectations continue to act as a tailwind for the Aussie. Meanwhile, the upbeat US NFP report lifted Fed rate hike bets, which, along with escalating US-Iran tensions, underpins the safe-haven US Dollar and caps the currency pair.

USD/JPY slides to test 154.00 on aggressive hawkish BoJ repricing

USD/JPY accelerates its decline and tests 154.00 in the European session on Monday as an aggressively hawkish BoJ repricing continues to drive the Japanese Yen higher. Meanwhile, the US Dollar faces headwinds from US debt worries and uncertainty about the Fed's policy outlook ahead of Friday's US CPI data release.

Gold recovers intraday losses to sub-$4,400 as USD slumps despite Fed rate hike bets

Gold shows some resilience below the $4,400 mark, and recovers intraday losses during the first half of the European session. Any meaningful upside, however, seems limited as traders might opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the latest US inflation figures, due later this week.

Bittensor: TAO eyes $300 amid launch on Raydium, parody meme coin, ChatGPT-6 Astra release

Bittensor is trading in the green on Monday, continuing a steady upward trend over the last five days, with a 25% gain. Social chatter surrounding Bittensor is increasing amid a similarly named meme coin launched on Solana and the release of ChatGPT-6 Astra. The technical outlook for TAO is bullish as momentum strengthens and buyers target the $300 breakout.

Strong US jobs, Middle East tensions and key inflation data ahead
Good morning all, hope you enjoyed your weekend. Markets are starting the week after Friday’s stronger-than-expected US jobs report, which increased expectations that the Fed could raise rates at its September meeting. However, US markets are closed today for the Labor Day holiday, so liquidity should be lower and we may see slower price action.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.