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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Sellers attack weekly support on mixed Aussie trade data

  • AUD/JPY snaps three-day uptrend, remains pressured around intraday low.
  • Australia Trade Balance improved but Exports, Imports dropped in October.
  • Failures to cross 100-EMA keep sellers hopeful, bulls need validation from 92.00.

AUD/JPY holds lower ground near the intraday low of 91.63 during early Thursday. In doing so, the cross-currency pair justifies the mixed plays of Japanese and Australian data.

That said, Japan’s final readings of the third quarter (Q3) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) came in better than initial forecasts as the QoQ figures improved to -0.2% versus -0.3% while the GDP Annualized came in -0.8% versus -1.1% expected and -1.2% prior.

On the other hand, Australian Trade Balance for October improved to 12,217M versus 1,155M expected and 12,444 prior. Further details suggest that the Imports and Exports both dropped 1.0% versus expectations of rising by 2.0% and 1.0% in that order.

Additionally, the quarterly Bulletin from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) failed to provide any clear directions to the AUD/JPY pair traders as it highlights the importance of education while praising the economic transition due to the easing of Covid-linked restrictions.

With this, the AUD/JPY bears are well-set to break the weekly support line surrounding 91.60, which in turn could recall the monthly low of 91.13 to the chart. Following that, the 91.00 and the 90.00 thresholds could lure the sellers.

On the flip side, a convergence of the 100-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a descending trend line from Tuesday, near 92.00, restricts the short-term upside of the AUD/JPY pair.

In a case where the AUD/JPY buyers manage to cross the 92.00 hurdle, the weekly high near 92.30 and the late November swing top around 93.85 will be in focus.

AUD/JPY: Hourly chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price91.67
Today Daily Change-0.12
Today Daily Change %-0.13%
Today daily open91.79
 
Trends
Daily SMA2093.12
Daily SMA5093.5
Daily SMA10094.18
Daily SMA20092.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High92.13
Previous Daily Low91.56
Previous Weekly High93.93
Previous Weekly Low91.14
Previous Monthly High95.56
Previous Monthly Low92.15
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%91.91
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%91.78
Daily Pivot Point S191.52
Daily Pivot Point S291.25
Daily Pivot Point S390.95
Daily Pivot Point R192.1
Daily Pivot Point R292.4
Daily Pivot Point R392.67

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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