|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Pair weakens further as bears maintain pressure below 92.50

  • AUD/JPY trades near the 92.40 zone on Thursday, extending its daily decline ahead of the Asian session.
  • Momentum signals tilt bearish with MACD and Awesome Oscillator flashing sell signals, while RSI remains neutral.
  • Key resistance zones stand near 93.30 and 93.80, while sellers keep pressure under longer-term SMAs.

AUD/JPY saw renewed bearish momentum on Thursday, falling toward the 92.40 region and erasing recent recovery attempts. The pair slid deeper into the lower half of its daily range, suggesting continued selling bias as market participants reassess risk appetite ahead of the Asian session. Despite neutral signals from some oscillators, overall technical conditions favor further downside pressure.

Daily chart

The short-term technical landscape confirms a bearish tone. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) prints at 39.22, sitting in neutral territory but nearing oversold levels. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) issues a firm sell signal, while the Awesome Oscillator follows suit at -0.373, reinforcing negative momentum. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at -98.09, while neutral, leans toward bearish territory as well.

Adding to the downside bias, the pair remains below several key moving averages. The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 93.97, 100-day at 96.54, and 200-day at 98.44 all point south, joined by the 10-day EMA and SMA around the 94.00–94.15 area, signaling persistent bearish pressure from a trend perspective.

Immediate resistance is seen at 93.30, followed by 93.78 and 93.80. These levels could act as barriers if the pair attempts a corrective bounce. On the downside, the 92.28 zone marks the session low and immediate support. A break below that area could open the door toward further losses.

Overall, unless AUD/JPY reclaims territory above the key moving averages, sellers are likely to retain control in the short term.

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.