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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Holds to gains post RBA as technicals support further upside

  • AUD/JPY sees a sharp rally, buoyed by RBA’s surprise rate hike to 4.10%; the pair trades flat above 93.00.
  • The technical analysis projects a bullish bias, with key resistance at the December 19 high of 93.35.
  • Risk aversion could trigger pullback, with initial support found at the May 19 high of 92.35.

AUD/JPY rallied sharply on Tuesday after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) surprisingly raised rates by 25 bps, lifting the cash rate to 4.10%. Therefore, the AUD/JPY jumped from 92.30, toward 93.14, before retracing some of those gains, but buyers moving in, lifted the AUD/JPY toward the current spot price. At the time of writing, the AUD/JPY is trading at 93.14, flat as the Asian session begins.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

After rallying sharply, the AUD/JPY remains upward biased, as it sits above the Ichimoku Cloud and the Chikou Span. Additionally, the Tenkan-Sen line is above the Kijun-Sen line, each at 91.76 and 91.21, respectively, another bullish signal. Nevertheless, the nature of the cross-currency pair indicates that its subject-to-market sentiment swings, which could shift the pair’s direction.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator and the 3-day Rate of Change (RoC) further cement the bias, as the RSI sits in bullish territory, while the RoC indicates buyers remain in charge.

Therefore, the AUD/JPY first resistance would be the December 19 high at 93.35. A breach of the latter will expose a top-trendline of an ascending channel at around 93.70/85 before challenging the 94.00 figure.

In the event of risk aversion, the AUD/JPY pair may be subject to a pullback, and the first support would be the May 19 high at 92.35 before diving to the 92.00 figure. Once cleared, the next support would be the Tenkan-Sen line at 91.76, ahead of sliding toward the Kijun-Sen line at 91.21.

AUD/JPY Price Action – Daily chart

AUD/JPY Daily chart

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price93.12
Today Daily Change0.75
Today Daily Change %0.81
Today daily open92.37
 
Trends
Daily SMA2091.37
Daily SMA5090.25
Daily SMA10090.48
Daily SMA20091.82
 
Levels
Previous Daily High92.66
Previous Daily Low92.14
Previous Weekly High92.56
Previous Weekly Low90.26
Previous Monthly High92.44
Previous Monthly Low89.16
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%92.34
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%92.46
Daily Pivot Point S192.12
Daily Pivot Point S291.86
Daily Pivot Point S391.59
Daily Pivot Point R192.64
Daily Pivot Point R292.91
Daily Pivot Point R393.17

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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